Skip to main content

NIO stock forecast 2025: Core technologies


In terms of new forces in car manufacturing, industry participants have entered the fast lane in areas such as new product releases and intelligent driving. With the "general trend" of the popularization of electric vehicles, you will catch up. For NIO, which is the first to deploy the electric vehicle industry, whether ET7 can take the industry pioneer into the "overtaking lane" and continue to be at the forefront of the industry. Examining NIO's strategic measures is an effective way to try to find answers. Way, especially in the context of the “general trend” of electric vehicles.

 NIO's Core technologies:

 1. At present and for a period of time, the price, performance iteration, and supply of batteries and core raw materials will be the core factors that determine the popularization of pure electric vehicles, and determine a series of trends in the market and participants.

 Lithium is an indispensable and important element of power batteries. The commercialization of solid-state batteries will double the demand for lithium: Lithium batteries are the most mature technology route for electric vehicles at this stage. Nearly 80% of the world’s lithium resource production is mainly concentrated in the Four Lakes and Americas.  

 The traditional four lakes in South America and the six mines in Australia have been reshaped. Traditional lithium giants such as Albemarle, Livent, SQM, and other traditional lithium industry giants have clear guidelines for future capacity expansion; Australian mines Terryson and Marion are not for sale; Altura, Wodgina, and Bald hill mines are still in In the shutdown state, the release of new production capacity and the restart of shutdown production capacity will take time. 

 In the next five years, the growth rate of the overall supply side will be lower than the growth rate of the demand side, and the price changes of upstream raw materials and even the evolution of geopolitics will bring about The changes in the industry will be directly transmitted to the manufacturing costs of vehicle companies and will have an impact on a series of commercial actions including selling prices.

 2. Autonomous driving is listed as a core strategy by many new car manufacturers, but the underlying technologies of autonomous driving, such as chips and its supply, are still in the hands of Europe, America, Japan, and South Korea. New car manufacturers in China may not be able to maintain the forefront of the industry in the field of autonomous driving.

 NIO is not a representative company for full-stack development. Its ADAS needs the support of suppliers. From an industrial point of view, the core underlying technology and supply chain of autonomous driving is not in China’s hands, such as chip research and development and industrial chain. , And the chip plays a vital role in smart electric vehicles.

 3. Traditional fuel vehicle OEMs are increasingly making efforts to adjust the layout and strategy of electric vehicle product lines. Their profitability and brand appeal will strongly impact new domestic vehicle manufacturers, such as Volkswagen, Audi, and the United States. General Motors, the future evolution of the market share of electric vehicles is still unclear;

 4. The profit problem of NIO will be a long-term strategic problem. Even if its strategic plan is forward-looking in the industry, if it continues to be unprofitable and faces blood transfusions, it will be passive in the increasing competition;

 Failure to generate positive cash flow and make a profit will result in a passive situation in the financing, product development, technology research and development, and talent reserves. The passive situation will evolve into a passive situation in the industry competition. A passive situation in the industry means life and death.

 5. NIO’s mid-to-high-end product line planning and the establishment of luxury brand recognition rely on two points: First, it accurately enters the Chinese high-end self-owned brand pure electric vehicle market, and releases large-scale luxury SUV models with growth potential to meet consumer options. The second is to rely on NIO House / NIO Space, user online services, and community operations, and the third is to replace battery + solid-state batteries to solve mileage anxiety + smart driving + smart cockpit landing product differentiation, but given the continuing negative trend of NIO House / NIO Space With the outflow of cash flow, NIO will eventually need to face the inevitable option of balancing the cash flow and the strategic planning;

NIO's crucial moment

 On May 13, the first verified prototype of the NIO ET7 was officially off the assembly line at NIO's Hefei Advanced Manufacturing Base and entered the stage of production and commissioning. Prototype verification is an important part of the production preparation process before mass production. It is responsible for debugging, matching, and optimizing the vehicle's performance and the user's driving experience.

 As NIO’s first sedan and its first self-driving model, the starting price before the ET7 subsidy is RMB 448,000, and the starting price of the BaaS program is RMB 378,000 before the subsidy. In addition, the first release version is priced at 526,000 yuan before subsidies, and the BaaS program is priced at 398,000 yuan before subsidies. The vehicle is scheduled to be delivered in the first quarter of 2022. All ET7 series is equipped with 19 safety and driving assistance functions of NAD as standard. The complete functions of NAD will adopt the service subscription model of "monthly activation and monthly payment", and the service fee is 680 yuan per month.

 At the Shanghai Auto Show, Xiaopeng Motors’ third product, the world’s first mass-produced smart car equipped with lidar, Xiaopeng P5, was officially unveiled. Within 53 hours after the official booking was opened, the cumulative order exceeded 10,000, becoming Xiaopeng Motors has the most pre-booked models. This is an A+ class car, the world's first mass-produced smart electric car equipped with lidar. At the same time, P7 will be delivered in Norway in the second half of this year.

 As the two powerful forces of China's new car-making forces, from the release of new models to the phased implementation of autonomous driving technology, a sense of vision that you are chasing me in the fast lane has jumped out.

  However, who can drive into the overtaking lane and continue to lead the industry?

 NIO is the earliest start-up company in China to deploy pure electric vehicles.

 Similar to other new car-making forces, NIO has tied up with Tencent, one of the Chinese Internet giants, to obtain its strategic investment and support.

 The left hand marries Tencent's strategic investment to obtain Tencent's scenario-based technology empowerment and strategic resource matching, and the right-hand links Hefei's state-owned capital industrial strategic investors to enhance industrial capital and regional policy support and other aspects of the moat strength.

 Throughout the history of NIO’s capital operation from its establishment to the present, its core operating characteristics are: first, it fully reaches China’s top domestic investment institutions, which will have a potential impact on the financing operations of other competitors; second, it will be marketed earlier. Provide import and export for the re-operation of capital market financing.

 NIO Automotive executive team

 The senior management team of NIO is more balanced, able to take into account all dimensions of automobile manufacturing, covering everything from the supply chain, vehicle production, sales, software research and development, and vehicle design.

NIO Product line strategy

 Positioning, model release, and planning:

 In the mid-to-high-end new energy vehicle market, the price of mass-produced models on the market is 35.8-624,000 yuan. From the high-end market to the mid-to-high-end market, from SUV to car, the product matrix is ​​gradually improved. In the future, new models will be launched at the annual schedule, and models will also be extended to MPV and Coupe.

 Its SUV model ES8 fills the gap in the selection of high-end pure electric vehicles of China's own domestic brands. The product line meets consumer needs (license restrictions + intelligent cockpit + car cost comparison + consumer needs for large luxury SUVs).

 design:

 The fusion of extreme performance and a pleasant life emphasizes user experience. The products have a sense of technology and intelligence and cater to the aesthetics and preferences of young people. The use of panoramic sky screen, streamlined dynamic design, large central control screen, high-value and high-quality interiors, and other elements enhance the sense of experience.

 Production mode: coexistence of foundry and self-built.

 Both models have their own advantages. The foundry model can speed up mass production and reduce equipment purchases, and the self-built model can better control product quality. NIO uses the JAC foundry method.

 NIO's three-electric system is developed and produced in Nanjing Advanced Manufacturing Technology Center. The production scope includes battery PACK and EDS electric drive system.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

ROKU stock forecast 2025: worth holding for a long time

1.The Roku Channel (TRC).  The Roku Channel (TRC) will be a huge driving force for the company's growth. I think the market has not yet realized the huge potential of TRC. Currently, TRC is watched by 70 million people, which has doubled from last year. The growth rate is astonishing. Therefore, the ability of advertising monetization is getting stronger and stronger.   ROKU mentioned in the Q1 quarterly report that if content providers promote their subscriptions in TRC, the effect will be twice as good as just on the ROKU platform. This fully shows the extremely strong marketing capabilities of TRC. The exclusive content of ROKU license Cipher has also become the most popular show in TRC, and then ROKU original packaged after the acquisition of Quibi will be launched, which will further increase the user viscosity of TRC.  Roku's CEO said that the TRC flywheel has been turned, and the market seems to have not had time to digest this benefit. SVOD on the market i...

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment. We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets. Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets. Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors. There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver. Although gold has withdrawn from ...

Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF: Is ARKK worth buying?

  ARKK ETF by Catherine Wood  Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF  Warren Buffett is a stock god that everyone respected in the past, but in the past year, the female stock god Catherine Wood has become famous for the rising trend of technology stocks, and his head completely overshadows Buffett.   Therefore, this time I want to talk to you in detail about the prestigious history of this female stock god.  Catherine Wood founded ARK Investment in 2014 and listed the funds under her management under Exchange Traded Funds to facilitate investors to buy and sell, but the management fee is as low as some passive funds that track an index, about 0.75% per year.  Ark Investment launched 4 ETFs in September and October 2014. The themes are Next Generation Internet, Automation Technology and Robots, Innovative Technology, and Genetics.  Among them, Innovative Technology is currently the flagship ETF of Ark Investment and the most most popular ETF w...

VRTX stock forecast 2025: Vertex is undervalued

Let's look at some biotech companies with stable cash flow and currently undervalued value stocks as targets for diversified portfolios.  The company I shared today, called Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), is dedicated to the development of rare diseases, especially Cystic Fibrosis (CF). I have always had high respect for the rare disease group of pharmaceutical companies in the disease category. In addition, in the future, gene and cell therapies are subverting the role of rare diseases in the pharmaceutical industry, making rare diseases no longer uncommon. It's tasteless, but a field full of the future. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. was established in 1989 by Joshua Boger and Kevin Kinsella. is headquartered in Boston. At that time, several very good research and development companies were established in the United States, including the aforementioned Regeneron, Gilead, and today's Vertex.  Vertex In the past, he devoted himself to the development of small molecule drugs, wh...

INTC stock forecast 2025: Intel's acquisition of SiFive

SiFive, a chip design start-up company based on the RISC-V instruction set architecture, has received an acquisition intention from investor Intel.  A person familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named, said that Intel has offered to buy SiFive for more than $2 billion.  RISC-V with x86 and Arm  As we all know, Intel dominates the industry leader in x86 architecture chip technology, while SiFive focuses on open-source RISC-V technology and employs several founding members of the RISC-V architecture.  For a long time, the field of CPU instruction set architecture has been dominated by x86 and Arm. Since RISC-V was born at the University of California, Berkeley in 2010, it has gradually formed a certain competitive landscape with Arm after more than ten years of development.  With the gradual refinement of the application field, the model of one chip making the world has become a thing of the past. Facing the hot AI and Internet of Things market, RISC-V i...

Disney stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy now?

  The much-watched Disney released its second quarter financial report this year.  Benefiting from the strong recovery of theme parks and the rapid growth of streaming media business, its net profit and revenue both beat expectations.  Disney's stock price rose 5% after the market.  Let's take a look at the highlights of Disney's earnings this quarter.  In the second quarter, Disney’s total revenue reached 17.02 billion US dollars, exceeding analysts’ expectations of 16.76 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 45.5%.  Net profit turned from loss to profit, from a loss of US$4.721 billion last year to a profit of US$918 million.  From the perspective of departmental business, Disney Parks, Experience and Products departments have brought a boost to the company's revenue.  Since the economic restart, Disney's theme parks, cruise ships and offline merchandise retail businesses have all been greatly improved. The quarterly revenue of these bu...

Why has international oil(USO) prices plummeted?

As OPEC and Russia failed in negotiations and could not reach an agreement to reduce production, Saudi Arabia issued a comprehensive production increase announcement. Russia followed Saudi Arabia to increase production.  Due to the sharp increase in oil supply, international oil prices plummeted, and US stocks were affected by the spread of the epidemic, and international oil prices The plunge, the U.S. stock market plummeted, triggering multiple fuses. S&P500 Index Oil is a commodity whose price is affected by supply and demand. When oil production increases, supply increases, prices fall, and at the same time affected by the epidemic, demand decreases, and prices also fall. Oil supply increases and demand decreases, which is the main cause of the plunge in international oil prices. In terms of oil supply, since the United States developed shale oil, US oil production has become the world's largest. The production cost of shale oil is more than US $ 40, which is the ...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

Capital Flows Tracking Weekly

Release:  January 27, 2021 The weekly Capital Flows estimate the industry's total, based on the report covering more than 98% of mutual fund and ETF assets. Collect actual mutual fund net new cash flows and ETF net issuance together monthly; therefore, there is a discrepancy between these weekly estimates and monthly flows. The data from the previous few weeks reflect revisions due to data adjustments, reclassifications, and changes in the number of fund reports.  Mutual fund data represents the estimated value of net new cash flows, that is, new sales minus redemptions plus net exchanges, while exchange-traded fund (ETF) data represents net issuance, that is, net issuance minus total Redemption amount. This series does not include data on mutual funds that primarily invest in other mutual funds and ETFs that primarily invest in other ETFs.

The era of negative US interest rates coming?

Recently, the US Federal Reserve suddenly cut interest rates and US stocks fell sharply. Most investors believe that the ten-year bull market for US stocks has ended. In terms of the US dollar index, after a period of decline, the US dollar index rebounded sharply, indicating that risk aversion was high, and market funds were flowing to the US dollar to hedge. The Fed ’s interest rate cuts have not saved the US stock market. The Fed ’s interest rates are now very low. If the Fed continues to cut interest rates in the future, the United States will soon enter the era of negative interest rates. Take Europe and Japan as examples. Negative interest rates have not restored the country ’s economy. The future economic situation of the United States is not optimistic. The reason for the negative interest rate is that the investment must be profitable, otherwise, it will not be invested. If the profit is low or loss, the investor will directly deposit the profit to the bank. When socia...