Skip to main content

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

gold

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment.

We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets.

Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets.

Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors.

There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver.

Although gold has withdrawn from the market as a currency, its attributes as a currency still exist. The credit currency circulating in the market is based on the commitment of a country, and the currency itself is worthless.

In other words, the state promises to convert currency into commodities of corresponding value. Therefore, when a country experiences a credit crisis, it will trigger a currency crisis and the currency in circulation is likely to be worthless.

But gold is not based on national credit, it has high value itself, so it can survive the crisis.

With the risk aversion further heating up, gold is expected to continue to rise.

Gold price weekly chart
Gold price weekly chart

In terms of technical analysis, the weekly gold price chart is in an upward phase and should continue to be held.

Through the following simple model of gold, The reasonable price of gold is more than $2,500.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Intel, Twitter, and Snapchat stock forecast 2025: latest quarterly earnings reports

 Three technology companies, Intel, Twitter, and Snapchat, released their latest quarterly earnings reports.  Let's take a look at their performance and the key information revealed at the earnings conference. Intel(INTC) stock forecast 2025  Several important data on Intel's earnings report beat expectations.  Among them, earnings per share were US$1.28, higher than the expected US$1.06, an increase of 12% over the same period last year; total revenue was US$18.5 billion, beating analysts’ expectations of US$17.8 billion.  However, in Intel's guidance for the next quarter, the Non-GAAP gross profit margin given is only 55%, which is far lower than the market's expected 59.2%.  The reason given by Intel is that it is worried that supply chain problems will limit profitability, and the expected chip manufacturing business will bring additional costs.  For chip companies, the market is most concerned about gross profit margin.  TSMC fell last week b...

NIO and Tesla(TSLA) stock forecast 2025: released important news

  In the past two days, two electric vehicle companies, NIO and Tesla have released important news.  However, the market gave mixed reactions, one rose and the other fell. Let's take a look at what happened.  To  NIO stock forecast 2025  Let me talk about NIO first.  NIO announced this morning that the company will issue additional shares totaling US$2 billion. The price of the additional issuance will be based on the current market price, and the timing of the issuance will be determined according to the company’s needs. It may be a one-time sale or a share.  Wholesale sale.  After calculation, this will cause about a 3% equity dilution for existing shareholders.  However, the market seems to have given more interpretation. Today, NIO's share price has fallen by 6.3%, which is more than twice the theoretical dilution.  To  From the prospectus, the company only stated broadly that the funds raised will be used to strengthen its bala...

What is the average cost method?

Due to the recent plunge in the global market, I noticed that some people came out to promote an investment method called the fool-style stock disaster investment method. The thinking behind it is similar to other lazy investment methods, or monthly stocks/funds, just to change the saying, I will dismantle the problems behind you one by one. Let you see the risks you need to bear, first look at the logic behind this method. Its approach is this when the market drops 10%, you invest 20% of the funds to buy stock market ETFs when the market drops 20%, you invest another 20% when the market drops 30%, you invest another 20%, And so on. Until the market drops by 50%, you will put all the funds into the market, and when your average cost is equal to the market drops by 30%, you will buy all the funds in the market ETF (that is, All in). It is a kind of average cost method. The principle of this method is that, first, he believes that the maximum decline in the market is about 50%. A...

Will China's economy recover as the epidemic is under control?

During the Chinese Spring Festival, novel coronavirus broke out in Wuhan, and the Chinese stock market was hit hard. Subsequently, the Chinese government quickly took strict measures to block Wuhan, a city with a population of tens of thousands of people, to prevent the further spread of the epidemic, and to take corresponding epidemic prevention measures in other cities.  When the worst of the epidemic had already occurred, the Chinese stock market quickly rebounded. As the number of infections continues to decline, China's Shanghai Composite Index is expected to rise further. Sars Period Looking back on similar events in the past, the SARS epidemic in 2003, the stock market also made a short-term decline, and then the SARS epidemic was brought under control, the stock market immediately went up for a long time. According to past historical data, the impact of the novel coronavirus epidemic on the stock market may be short-lived. China Fund Capital Flow Howeve...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

4 economic indicators that must be observed!

  Stocks are one of the simplest and most passive types of income, but when we invest in the stock market, we always feel that the current stock price is on the high side, but if we don’t enter the market to buy stocks, we are afraid that the stock price will continue to rise. When the U.S. stock market continues to hit new highs, should it enter the market or should it wait and see and wait for the crash to enter the market.  First of all, I want to declare that I am a value investor and insist on the BUY AND HOLD operation method. We all know that stocks are cyclical, and we are now experiencing the longest bull market in history. Stock market analysts believe that a crash may come at any time, but we just have no way to predict the specific time. I believe everyone understands. But I know that a bear market will definitely come. The long-term trend of stocks often has several economic data as a reference. Today we will take a look at these economic data. source: tradingview...

Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

 On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound.  How is this going?  Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled.  The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe:  1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists;  2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth.  Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “...

What is a spac stock in the Investment market?

Let me talk about SPAC first.  SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) means "Special Purpose Acquisition Company", also known as "Blank Check" or "Shell Company".  As the name suggests, this company has no actual business, and its essence is a financial innovation tool that provides companies with listing services.  More simply, SPAC is a shell resource company established by professional institutions such as investment banks and fund companies as promoters.  The sole purpose of this company's listing is to find the target company, through reverse mergers and acquisitions, to achieve the target company's listing and financing.  Most people pay attention to SPAC from 2020, but in fact, SPAC is nothing new.  The SPAC structure was first born in the 1990s and was pioneered by David Nabers, who worked for the Wall Street investment bank GKN.  However, in the past few decades, compared with traditional IPOs, the number of SPACs is very limited, and ...

Bitcoin will eventually lose its king status! Replaced by Ethereum

 Considering many factors such as real use, user base, technological iteration speed, etc., Ethereum is likely to replace Bitcoin as the mainstream cryptocurrency.  In terms of market trends, the key difference between the current cryptocurrency market and the 2017-2018 bull market is the participation of institutional investors.  However, with the recent slowdown in the participation of institutional investors, the inflow of cryptocurrency ETFs has decreased, alternative currencies have emerged one after another, and the market has once again been dominated by retail investors.  This shift from institutions to retail investors is increasing the possibility of a market crash.  The current high volatility in the market will continue until cryptocurrencies have potential real economic uses independent of prices.  Etherfang has huge potential  The Ethereum system supports smart contracts and provides developers with a way to create new applications. ...

NIO vs LI vs XPEV stock: Q1 financial report analysis

Q1 financial report analysis: NIO vs LI vs XPEV stock  In the financial report, the most striking thing is the delivery volume.  Comprehensive data shows that the NIO Q1 delivery volume exceeded 20,000 for the first time and continued to lead.  Beginning in 2021, NIO set a record of 20,060 deliveries in the first quarter, an increase of 422.7% year-on-year.  All aspects of XPEV can be described as "stable".  The delivery of LI decreased by 13.03% month-on-month, making it the only company among the top three automakers that had a negative growth rate from the previous month.    At the same time, the financial report showed that after achieving profit in the previous quarter, LI Q1 turned into a loss.  The net loss reached 360 million yuan, an increase of 366.9% year-on-year.  It is not difficult to see that the gap between LI Auto and the other two companies has not narrowed.  At the same time, in the car-making boom, the market's v...