Skip to main content

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

gold

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment.

We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets.

Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets.

Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors.

There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver.

Although gold has withdrawn from the market as a currency, its attributes as a currency still exist. The credit currency circulating in the market is based on the commitment of a country, and the currency itself is worthless.

In other words, the state promises to convert currency into commodities of corresponding value. Therefore, when a country experiences a credit crisis, it will trigger a currency crisis and the currency in circulation is likely to be worthless.

But gold is not based on national credit, it has high value itself, so it can survive the crisis.

With the risk aversion further heating up, gold is expected to continue to rise.

Gold price weekly chart
Gold price weekly chart

In terms of technical analysis, the weekly gold price chart is in an upward phase and should continue to be held.

Through the following simple model of gold, The reasonable price of gold is more than $2,500.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Capital Flows Tracking Weekly

Release:  January 27, 2021 The weekly Capital Flows estimate the industry's total, based on the report covering more than 98% of mutual fund and ETF assets. Collect actual mutual fund net new cash flows and ETF net issuance together monthly; therefore, there is a discrepancy between these weekly estimates and monthly flows. The data from the previous few weeks reflect revisions due to data adjustments, reclassifications, and changes in the number of fund reports.  Mutual fund data represents the estimated value of net new cash flows, that is, new sales minus redemptions plus net exchanges, while exchange-traded fund (ETF) data represents net issuance, that is, net issuance minus total Redemption amount. This series does not include data on mutual funds that primarily invest in other mutual funds and ETFs that primarily invest in other ETFs.