Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound.

How is this going?

Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled.

The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe:

1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists;

2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth.

Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “Trading in value stocks is slowly declining, and those who are long-term bullish on growth stocks are reaping benefits. Bond yields are representative of growth prospects.” He pointed out that bond investors see inflation in the second half of the year. The growth rate will slow down.

This keeps investors in the stock market, but they are turning to defensive stocks (healthcare stocks) and growth stocks (tech stocks).

Why would investors switch back to growth stocks?

Alec Young commented: "The value is biased towards industrial, energy, materials and small-cap stocks, so they are very sensitive to economic changes. When coming out of the recession, value stocks are better investments and their earnings leverage is higher. ."

"But the problem now is that the U.S. economy has entered a period of recession at a very fast rate, and now it has emerged from the recession at a very fast rate. Now, growth stocks are more able to withstand the unpredictable effects of the business cycle than value stocks. Provide higher returns."

Ben Snider and David Kostin of Goldman Sachs agreed. They recently stated that "historical data, stock valuations, stock positions, and economic slowdowns indicate that the rotation from growth stocks to value stocks is about to pass."

The two Goldman Sachs bankers said: "Mutual funds value stocks more than ever. Although hedge funds still prefer growth stocks, they have been very cautious about growth stocks recently.

Comments

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment. We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets. Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets. Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors. There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver. Although gold has withdrawn from ...

How to judge the diffusive horn pattern ?

As an investment trader, you must understand the use of chart technology analysis to determine the position of market transactions. Now let's talk about a common pattern in chart technical analysis, which is the diffuse speaker pattern. Diffusion horn patterns are different from trend patterns and horizontal patterns. Diffusion horn patterns are more difficult to judge than trend patterns and horizontal patterns, and often cause losses to investment traders. So, how do investment traders judge the spreading horn pattern and make favorable investment transactions? S&P500 Index The price trend of the diffusive horn pattern. When the price rises over some time, then the price falls, and falls below the recent low, then rises, and rises through the last high. It keeps expanding in two directions. If we connect the high point and the low point with straight lines, respectively, we can show a horn shape, so it is called a diffuse horn shape. Because of this, some i...

Barrick Gold stock price soars after Warren Buffett's buys a stake?

Has Buffett bought gold ? Buffett has not changed. Buffett does not want to hold physical gold, but he has never said that he will not buy shares in gold mining companies. Looking at the entire market, there are not many stocks that fit Buffett's trading. And Barrick Gold Company is just one of them. Buffett bought nearly 21 million shares, and the current share value is $563 million. We now look at the underlying logic of Buffett's purchase of Barrick Gold stock. Compared with physical gold ETFs, gold mining companies can respond positively to market conditions. There are financial reports to analyze, With dividends and stock repurchase plans, gold mining companies have the right to reward shareholders through capital return plans. In contrast, the physical gold ETF has no gains. The market generally believes that it is still in the upward cycle of gold prices . The current international environment is one where black swans emerge one after another. While paying att...

My long-term stock market trading strategy!

trading strategy As a stock market investor, everyone has an investment trading strategy. Through my many years of investment experience, I have tried different investment strategies, used different investment tools, and concluded my own set of investment strategies. This is a long-term investment strategy, not a short-term one. For ordinary investors, how to cope with the big ups and downs of the stock market, and by sharing my investment trading strategy, I hope that it can help investors and enable the asset portfolio to add value steadily. First, when the stock market is at different stages, I will use different coping methods. There are usually three stages in the stock market, and I generally use three different approaches. First, the stock market is in a rising phase. I usually do not use leveraged instruments or make financial loans to trade. Although leveraged trading can make quick and large profits, it can also make quick and large losses. When trading wi...

Why has international oil(USO) prices plummeted?

As OPEC and Russia failed in negotiations and could not reach an agreement to reduce production, Saudi Arabia issued a comprehensive production increase announcement. Russia followed Saudi Arabia to increase production. Due to the sharp increase in oil supply, international oil prices plummeted, and US stocks were affected by the spread of the epidemic, and international oil prices The plunge, the U.S. stock market plummeted, triggering multiple fuses. S&P500 Index Oil is a commodity whose price is affected by supply and demand. When oil production increases, supply increases, prices fall, and at the same time affected by the epidemic, demand decreases, and prices also fall. Oil supply increases and demand decreases, which is the main cause of the plunge in international oil prices. In terms of oil supply, since the United States developed shale oil, US oil production has become the world's largest. The production cost of shale oil is more than US $ 40, which is the ...

How to judge the market entry signal?

buy sell Most people lose money when investing in stocks. One of the biggest reasons is that they buy stocks at the wrong time. Why did they buy the stock at the wrong time? Facts have proved that many people do not know that stocks only rise 1/4 times, and that is the easiest time to make money. And in another 3/4 of the time, making money is difficult, and losing money is easier. Today, I will share how to choose the right time to buy stocks. I hope you can see the final result because, in the end, I will share with you how to use simple technical indicators to help us find the exact input time. First of all, everyone must know a concept, whether it is a stock market or a stock, there are four stages. Let us take the stock market as an example. The first stage is called the "next stage". At this time, the market has just experienced a sharp decline, and most investors in the market are not interested in the stock market, because their memories are still stuck in t...

What is the essence of the stock market?

If you have invested in stocks for many years, and you already know what stocks are. But if I tell you, even if you have invested in stocks for many years, even if you are still losing money, you may have misunderstood what stocks are. Many people think that buying stocks is investing in a company and becoming a company shareholder. As long as the company makes money, the stock price will rise. As a shareholder, you can share the economic achievements of the company’s development, such as obtaining dividends from the company, such as the appreciation of existing capital, is it not good to return cash flow every year? If you think so and are willing to keep close to the company's stock if you wait for 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, then this idea may be correct, I will not stop you. But if you buy stocks just to make money, then I can tell you that the idea just now may be wrong. And this idea may cause you to often lose a lot of money, do you want to know why? First, if you a...

10 stocks tell you why U.S. stocks plunged!

On February 24, 2020, the U.S. stock market plummeted by 1,000 points. Since the outbreak of the new coronavirus epidemic, although market funds have already begun to flow into safe-haven assets such as gold and bond markets, the epidemic does not seem to have an impact on the stock market trend. As the new coronavirus epidemic spread further, and companies began to publish performance reports, investors began to worry that the epidemic would affect the company's next quarter's profit growth and made predictions for the company's next quarter's performance. Analysts lowered the companies The profit forecast for the next quarter, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in March, the Fed's rate cut indicates that the economy may further decline. S & P 500 Index Fed watch As an investor, you need to know how to value a company using PEG indicators. Generally speaking, the valuation using the PEG indicator is more accurate, but it is only used t...

The Federal Reserve implements interest rate hikes or cuts？

Generally speaking, the Federal Reserve implements interest rate hikes or cuts. Interest rate rises are austerity monetary policies, and interest rate cuts are a loose monetary policy. When the rate hike cycle begins, it indicates that the Federal Reserve is optimistic about the future economic outlook, economic data shows a positive outlook, and market sentiment is optimistic. To avoid excessive economic growth, the Federal Reserve has implemented austerity monetary policy and implemented interest rate hikes. When the interest rate cut cycle begins, it means that the Federal Reserve is bad on the future economic outlook, the economic data shows a bad trend, and the market is pessimistic. To stimulate economic growth, the Federal Reserve has implemented a loose monetary policy and implemented interest rate reductions. Correlation between the S & P 500 and Federal Reserve interest rates Historical data from the S & P 500 shows that when the rate hike cycle begins, the sto...

The relationship between Dow theory and the stock market!

Many technical analyses, such as morphological analysis and wave theory, use the Dow theory as the basis for the evolution of original technical analysis. Let's talk about the relationship between the Dow theory and today's stock market. Starting from the three most widely known theorems, theorems, market behavior is inclusive and digestive, market behavior follows the trend, and history will repeat itself. Among these three theorems, there are many Charles investment ideas, which can also be said to be the backbone of technical analysis. Charles' first theorem hoped that the market was originally a gathering place for hundreds of news. For example, Jun A believes that a country's civil war and unstable economy caused it to sell the shares of local companies; Jun B learned that the local companies will still have considerable profitability next year, so he bought the shares of local companies; Jun received a third different message and made an investment decision and...

FinanceLinkway

Search This Blog