Skip to main content

Three stages of bull and bear markets!



The bull and bear markets of the stock market are traditional indicators of the business cycle. As an investor, distinguishing bull and bear markets in the stock market and grasping the long-term development direction of the market can avoid the impact of short-term market fluctuations and the impact of complex market information. 

For example, the market fluctuations brought by news information, the sudden and sharp drop in market prices, and the impact of investor sentiment have led to making wrong investment trading decisions.

The stock market is in a bull market, most asset prices will continue to rise, and the stock market is in a bear market, most asset prices will continue to fall. Both bull and bear markets are divided into three stages, so how to tell whether the stock market is in a bull or bear market, and at what stage.

S&P500 Index

What is a bull market?

In the first stage of the bull market, after the market economy was in recession, the stock price fell to a very low position and the transaction volume was very small, but the market economy began to improve. 

Value investors believed that the value of the stock was undervalued, and market capital began to enter the stock market. Buying undervalued assets, stock prices started to rise, but at this time most investors still do not believe that the market economy has recovered and market sentiment is still pessimistic. 

In the second stage of the bull market, after the stock price rose for some time, the market continued to announce favorable news. Investors began to restore confidence in the market economy. With the increase of market economic value and optimistic market sentiment, investors continued to enter the stock market to buy Into assets, stock prices continue to rise, and trading volume continues to rise.

 In the third stage of the bull market, the market economy grew excessively, investors were confident about the market economy prospects, market sentiment was extremely optimistic, funds went into the stock market crazy to buy assets, stock prices continued to hit new highs, and trading volume was active.

S&P500 Index

What is a bear market?

The first stage of the bear market appeared at the end of the third stage of the bull market, the market economy began to decline, and the stock price had risen to a very high position. The over-inflation of asset prices caused the value of stocks to be greatly overvalued. Value investors began to sell stocks, and stock prices began to fall. 

In the second phase of the bear market, more and more investors are beginning to realize that the economy has already declined, the market keeps publishing unfavorable news, market sentiment is panic, investors are constantly rushing to throw stocks, and stock prices are falling rapidly. In the third stage of the bear market, stock prices fell sharply, and market investment sentiment was extremely pessimistic. 

Investors all threw out stocks, and stock prices fell to a very low position. With the recovery of the market economy, value investors have started to buy undervalued assets, funds have begun to enter the stock market, and a new round of bull market will begin.

There is no identical bull market, nor is there an identical bear market. If investors know which economic cycle they are currently in and how to distinguish between the characteristics of bull and bear markets, they can make correct investment trading decisions when stock prices are rising or falling too much. The growth and decline of the market economy will create opportunities for us to buy or sell assets.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Coinbase stock forecast 2025: Negative for two consecutive days

  For investors in the currency circle, these two days are destined to be an uneasy day. First, the Republic of El Salvador officially regarded Bitcoin as a legal currency for trading, and then Bitcoin experienced a wave of flash crashes. The price once plummeted from $52,800 by 19% to $42,900. Finally, the Bitcoin exchange Coinbase was negative for two consecutive days.  Let me talk about the fact that El Salvador uses Bitcoin as a legal currency. To attract more foreign investment and provide lower-cost financial and foreign exchange services, the Salvadoran government-approved Bitcoin as a legal currency as early as June this year and decided to officially implement this currency on September 7, which is yesterday. policy. The government plans to distribute $30 worth of bitcoin to residents who have registered for e-wallets, with a total investment of up to 75 million U.S. dollars. But yesterday’s implementation results showed that the start of this plan was not smooth...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

Shopify stock forecast 2025:Is it worth buying?

  In the last year, the stocks rose relatively well. Another sector is e-commerce. Whether it is Amazon, Alibaba, JD.com, Pinduoduo, SEA or vertical e-commerce platforms Etsy and Chewy, all of them have experienced huge gains, while another category has benefited from the e-commerce sector.  The company is a website building tool company such as Shopify BigCommerce Holdings. Today I will talk about shopify, the leader of website building tools.  First, let's briefly talk about shopify's business model. To put it simply, shopify is a fool-like website building platform. In the past, when a company wanted to build a corporate website, it generally needed to find a dedicated person to design and maintain the website.  If you want to add shopping functions to the website, the cost of building the website will also increase. This is true for many small businesses and individual businesses.   A very difficult thing. Shopify uses the SAAS model to provide websit...

Will the Great Depression make a comeback?

the Great Depression On March 21, 2020, the United States already had initial unemployment data. Exceeding market expectations, the number of applicants reached 3.28 million, a record high. The current unemployment situation in the United States. Before March 7, employment in the United States was not affected by the epidemic. In the week of March 7, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States was 211,000, a decrease of 4,000 compared to the previous week. It is still healthy. This shows that the United States is in a good employment track range. The actual data began to fluctuate, that is, the data for the week of March 14, the number of people applying for relief reached 282,000, a slight increase. On March 21, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits soared to a record high this week. 1.7 million people have far exceeded expectations, and market expectations are about 1.5 to 1.7 million people. It can be said...

Palantir stock forecast 2025: What kind of company is PLTR?

 PLTR introduced today may be the most controversial company in the current market, not one of them.  As a stock, he is the faith stock of many retail investors. Those who believe in it generally believe that its stock price can double at least ten times in the future.  Catherine Wood, the president of the ARK Fund, nicknamed "the light of retail investors," continues to buy the stock, which is also highly sought after on the WSB forum; on the contrary, most analysts on Wall Street are not optimistic about its development.  The average target price at the end of 2021 is still 10% lower than the current stock price.  As a company, its revenue is growing steadily and rapidly, with an annual growth rate of about 30% per year. However, the company has never achieved profitability in the past 20 years since its establishment.  As a high-tech enterprise, the company is full of various genius ideas and the top talents in the industry, but they are mostly engaged i...

Many companies will China close in 2020?

Starting in March, all walks of life in China began to resume work. People stayed at home for more than two months. Many people's moods changed from tension to leisure, and now they are anxious.  It's not just the bosses who are anxious. Many employees find that their rents and mortgages are still being paid, the holidays are extended, they can't go to work, and their salaries aren't. Whenever there is no money it is a big problem. More than 700 companies closed down in February, but getting fewer wages is also better than the company suddenly closing down. In February, more than 700 companies have closed down, and this number should be exceeded.  Statistics show that more than 55% of catering businesses in China have resumed work, but compared to the same period last year, affected by the epidemic, 78% of catering companies have lost more than 100% of their operating income, and another 16% of them have lost over 70%.  This year's sudden outbreak, the impact...

Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

 On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound.  How is this going?  Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled.  The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe:  1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists;  2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth.  Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “...

Barrick Gold stock price soars after Warren Buffett's buys a stake?

Has Buffett bought gold ? Buffett has not changed. Buffett does not want to hold physical gold, but he has never said that he will not buy shares in gold mining companies. Looking at the entire market, there are not many stocks that fit Buffett's trading. And Barrick Gold Company is just one of them. Buffett bought nearly 21 million shares, and the current share value is $563 million. We now look at the underlying logic of Buffett's purchase of Barrick Gold stock. Compared with physical gold ETFs, gold mining companies can respond positively to market conditions. There are financial reports to analyze, With dividends and stock repurchase plans, gold mining companies have the right to reward shareholders through capital return plans. In contrast, the physical gold ETF has no gains. The market generally believes that it is still in the upward cycle of gold prices . The current international environment is one where black swans emerge one after another. While paying att...

The Federal Reserve implements interest rate hikes or cuts?

Generally speaking, the Federal Reserve implements interest rate hikes or cuts. Interest rate rises are austerity monetary policies, and interest rate cuts are a loose monetary policy. When the rate hike cycle begins, it indicates that the Federal Reserve is optimistic about the future economic outlook, economic data shows a positive outlook, and market sentiment is optimistic. To avoid excessive economic growth, the Federal Reserve has implemented austerity monetary policy and implemented interest rate hikes. When the interest rate cut cycle begins, it means that the Federal Reserve is bad on the future economic outlook, the economic data shows a bad trend, and the market is pessimistic. To stimulate economic growth, the Federal Reserve has implemented a loose monetary policy and implemented interest rate reductions. Correlation between the S & P 500 and Federal Reserve interest rates Historical data from the S & P 500 shows that when the rate hike cycle begins, the sto...

INTC stock forecast 2025: Intel's acquisition of SiFive

SiFive, a chip design start-up company based on the RISC-V instruction set architecture, has received an acquisition intention from investor Intel.  A person familiar with the matter, who asked not to be named, said that Intel has offered to buy SiFive for more than $2 billion.  RISC-V with x86 and Arm  As we all know, Intel dominates the industry leader in x86 architecture chip technology, while SiFive focuses on open-source RISC-V technology and employs several founding members of the RISC-V architecture.  For a long time, the field of CPU instruction set architecture has been dominated by x86 and Arm. Since RISC-V was born at the University of California, Berkeley in 2010, it has gradually formed a certain competitive landscape with Arm after more than ten years of development.  With the gradual refinement of the application field, the model of one chip making the world has become a thing of the past. Facing the hot AI and Internet of Things market, RISC-V i...