Skip to main content

Three stages of bull and bear markets!



The bull and bear markets of the stock market are traditional indicators of the business cycle. As an investor, distinguishing bull and bear markets in the stock market and grasping the long-term development direction of the market can avoid the impact of short-term market fluctuations and the impact of complex market information. 

For example, the market fluctuations brought by news information, the sudden and sharp drop in market prices, and the impact of investor sentiment have led to making wrong investment trading decisions.

The stock market is in a bull market, most asset prices will continue to rise, and the stock market is in a bear market, most asset prices will continue to fall. Both bull and bear markets are divided into three stages, so how to tell whether the stock market is in a bull or bear market, and at what stage.

S&P500 Index

What is a bull market?

In the first stage of the bull market, after the market economy was in recession, the stock price fell to a very low position and the transaction volume was very small, but the market economy began to improve. 

Value investors believed that the value of the stock was undervalued, and market capital began to enter the stock market. Buying undervalued assets, stock prices started to rise, but at this time most investors still do not believe that the market economy has recovered and market sentiment is still pessimistic. 

In the second stage of the bull market, after the stock price rose for some time, the market continued to announce favorable news. Investors began to restore confidence in the market economy. With the increase of market economic value and optimistic market sentiment, investors continued to enter the stock market to buy Into assets, stock prices continue to rise, and trading volume continues to rise.

 In the third stage of the bull market, the market economy grew excessively, investors were confident about the market economy prospects, market sentiment was extremely optimistic, funds went into the stock market crazy to buy assets, stock prices continued to hit new highs, and trading volume was active.

S&P500 Index

What is a bear market?

The first stage of the bear market appeared at the end of the third stage of the bull market, the market economy began to decline, and the stock price had risen to a very high position. The over-inflation of asset prices caused the value of stocks to be greatly overvalued. Value investors began to sell stocks, and stock prices began to fall. 

In the second phase of the bear market, more and more investors are beginning to realize that the economy has already declined, the market keeps publishing unfavorable news, market sentiment is panic, investors are constantly rushing to throw stocks, and stock prices are falling rapidly. In the third stage of the bear market, stock prices fell sharply, and market investment sentiment was extremely pessimistic. 

Investors all threw out stocks, and stock prices fell to a very low position. With the recovery of the market economy, value investors have started to buy undervalued assets, funds have begun to enter the stock market, and a new round of bull market will begin.

There is no identical bull market, nor is there an identical bear market. If investors know which economic cycle they are currently in and how to distinguish between the characteristics of bull and bear markets, they can make correct investment trading decisions when stock prices are rising or falling too much. The growth and decline of the market economy will create opportunities for us to buy or sell assets.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF: Is ARKK worth buying?

  ARKK ETF by Catherine Wood  Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF  Warren Buffett is a stock god that everyone respected in the past, but in the past year, the female stock god Catherine Wood has become famous for the rising trend of technology stocks, and his head completely overshadows Buffett.   Therefore, this time I want to talk to you in detail about the prestigious history of this female stock god.  Catherine Wood founded ARK Investment in 2014 and listed the funds under her management under Exchange Traded Funds to facilitate investors to buy and sell, but the management fee is as low as some passive funds that track an index, about 0.75% per year.  Ark Investment launched 4 ETFs in September and October 2014. The themes are Next Generation Internet, Automation Technology and Robots, Innovative Technology, and Genetics.  Among them, Innovative Technology is currently the flagship ETF of Ark Investment and the most most popular ETF w...

Safe-haven assets(GLD) are flowing into the market?

On March 9, 2020, the US Dow Jones Index plunged more than 2,000 points, the U.S. stock market crashed, the investment market was full of fear, and market funds flowed into those safe-haven assets? With the spread of the epidemic, the market's risk aversion has continued to increase, and the stock market has continued to fall. As an investor, to reduce investment risks, you must buy safe-haven assets, reduce the purchase or sale of assets in the stock market, and avoid a sharp decline in the stock market, which will cause serious losses. When market risks continue to increase, investors will continue to buy safe-haven assets. Investors should pay attention to the following several safe-haven assets and use them as safe-havens. Dow Jones Index The first safe-haven asset is gold. Gold(GLD), as a traditional anti-inflation commodity, has always been the preferred safe-haven asset for investors. GLD The second safe-haven asset is the Japanese yen. Because the Japanese y...

PLTR stock forecast 2025: Long-term holding growth stocks Palantir

Today we are talking about Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) the long-term growth stocks.  I have been paying attention to Palantir for a long time before the listing, but after the direct listing, the stock price fluctuated greatly, and the market's valuation faced great divergence. In addition, Palantir chose 80% of the shares to lift the ban three trading days after the financial report.  Therefore, I am also prepared to look at the market's reaction after the ban is lifted.  However, the stock price did not fall sharply due to the large-scale lifting of the ban. In this round of growth stock valuations, the decline of Palantir is not too large, at about 20%, but the valuation is more attractive than before.  From a perspective, I think Palantir is a company worth holding for a long time.  Palantir was founded in 2003 as a big data company with founders Peter Thiel, Alex Karp, Joe Lonsdale, Stephen Cohen, and Nathan Gettings.  Among them, the third and fo...

The relationship between Dow theory and the stock market!

Many technical analyses, such as morphological analysis and wave theory, use the Dow theory as the basis for the evolution of original technical analysis. Let's talk about the relationship between the Dow theory and today's stock market. Starting from the three most widely known theorems, theorems, market behavior is inclusive and digestive, market behavior follows the trend, and history will repeat itself. Among these three theorems, there are many Charles investment ideas, which can also be said to be the backbone of technical analysis. Charles' first theorem hoped that the market was originally a gathering place for hundreds of news. For example, Jun A believes that a country's civil war and unstable economy caused it to sell the shares of local companies; Jun B learned that the local companies will still have considerable profitability next year, so he bought the shares of local companies; Jun received a third different message and made an investment decision and...

Coinbase stock forecast 2025: it's first quarterly report

  After the trading hours on May 13 (this Thursday), Coinbase Global (COIN) will release its first quarterly report.  Take this opportunity to give us a glimpse of the prospects of the first share of cryptocurrency exchanges.  Actually, on April 6, before Coinbase went public, it had already released a forecast for the first quarter of this year. The core data are as follows:  Revenue in the first quarter was approximately US$1.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 842%; before the net profit was between US$730 million and US$800 million, the median was US$765 million, a year-on-year increase of nearly 23 times!  Assets on the platform are 223 billion US dollars, accounting for 11.3% of the market share of encrypted assets; 56 million verified users, and 6.1 million monthly transaction users (MTU).  It is worth noting that Coinbase's net profit margin reached a terrifying 42.5% in the first quarter, and the business model of “casino” is really profitable! ...

PYPL Stock Forecast and Price Target 2021

Taking advantage of PayPal’s earnings report, let’s analyze PayPal’s latest situation and PayPal stock forecasts, especially for strong stocks like PayPal. How to buy stocks with few callbacks? PayPal issued a financial report. After the PayPal financial report came out, it rose by more than 7%, breaking a new high. PayPal's revenue First of all, let’s take a look at why PayPal has risen so well after the earnings report. PayPal’s earnings report is very dazzling. This earnings report is currently one of the strongest earnings reports in PayPal’s history. It has continuously refreshed the strongest earnings record. Let’s take a look at how good this financial report is. The number of new active users in the fourth quarter increased by 16 million, an increase of 72% over the same period a year ago. At present, PayPal’s total active users have reached 377 million. The growth of active users for the whole year of 2020 is 24%. Very beautiful user growth. Active merchants have also reac...

Gold(GLD) and crude oil(USO) plunge and lose their value?

Recently, the stock market has experienced ups and downs. During the financial crisis, gold, bonds, and even bitcoin, which have been regarded as value-preserving, have depreciated. Can't help but make many investors confused, why is it like this? gold Gold On February 24, due to the stock market crash, a large number of institutions sold gold to make up for the losses of these institutions in the stock market and to increase margin. The price of gold resumed its rise in early March and then fell to a lower level again on March 9. Many investors were confused. Should n’t gold be a hedge? Should n’t gold and the stock market rise in the opposite direction? All of this has nothing to do with the shortage of funds in the repo market. The Fed ’s bailout ceiling is far from enough, and then the Fed issued an emergency statement on March 12. "Starting on March 12, 500 billion bailouts will be provided. Tomorrow the Fed will provide another 500 billion three-month repurchase...