NIO stock forecast 2025: 2021 Q1 report analysis

April 30, NIO announced the first quarter of the 2021 financial report.

Revenue reached 7.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 481.8%, and a month-on-month increase of 20.2%; gross profit was 1.5548 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 36.2%, and last year was -167.5 million yuan; a net loss of 350 million yuan was significantly narrowed year-on-year and month-on-month. Various indicators show that NIO's performance in the first quarter of this year is very impressive.

Gross profit margin exceeds 20% for the first time

NIO’s Q1 car sales were 7.40058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 489.8% and a month-on-month increase of 20.0%. The gross profit margin of automobile sales was 21.2%, exceeding 20% for the first time, a significant increase from -7.4% in Q1 of 2020 and 17.2% in Q4 of 2020. In addition, Weilai's Q1 comprehensive gross profit margin in 2021 will also reach 19.5%.

The founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO said: A gross profit margin of more than 20% indicates that we have reached a state of relatively healthy operations.

The rapid increase in Q1 gross profit margin was attributed to the increase in the average transaction price caused by the continuously rising delivery volume and the increase in the delivery volume of high-end models. In addition, costs have also dropped.

Increasing gross profit margin has been an operating indicator that NIO has focused on since last year. To this end, Weilai has taken several measures, including layoffs last year. In Q2 of 2020, NIO's gross profit margin turned from negative to positive for the first time. By the end of last year, both the comprehensive gross profit margin and auto sales gross profit margin reached 17.2%.

Q1 losses narrowed sharply

While revenue and gross profit margin increased substantially, NIO's losses continued to narrow. In 2021, the Q1 net loss was 451 million yuan, a decrease of 73.3% year-on-year and a decrease of 67.5% month-on-month. Excluding share compensation expenses, the adjusted net loss (non-GAAP) was 354.6 million yuan, a decrease of 78.6% year-on-year (a loss of 1.659 billion yuan in Q1 last year) and a 73.3% decrease from the previous quarter (a loss of 1.328 billion yuan in Q4 last year).

Judging from the situation in the first quarter, the net profit of NIO Q2 is expected to turn from negative to positive.

Delivery in 2021 is expected to hit 100,000 vehicles

In Q1 of 2021, Weilai delivered a total of 2,060 vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 422.7% and a month-on-month increase of 15.6%. Among them, ES8 delivered 4,516 vehicles, ES6 delivered 8088 vehicles, and EC6 delivered 7456 vehicles.

At present, NIO’s orders continue to grow, and the main challenge in Q2 is still the supply chain risk brought about by global chip shortages.

On April 7 this year, NIO's 100,000th production car rolled off the assembly line. Looking back at the delivery cycle of NIO, the first 50,000 units took 26 months, and the second 50,000 units took only 9 months.

In general, Q1 is the off-season, but NIO's delivery volume also exceeds 20,000 and is expected to reach 100,000 this year, which will create a sales record for high-end models of Chinese brands.

The opening of the second factory by Weilai and its huge production capacity show that NIO has great confidence in the growth potential of its delivery volume.

Expansion/recharging/recharging and after-sales network construction is steadily advancing

For this year's development, the production and testing of NIO's first smart electric flagship sedan ET7 are in full swing. The body of the first production line of the new car officially rolled off the assembly line on April 2 this year, and the interior design was unveiled for the first time on April 19, fully demonstrating the design concept of the ET7 second living room.

Due to the short-term impact of the chip, the NIO factory suspended production for five working days between the end of March and the beginning of April.

During the shutdown and holidays, NIO and its partners have transformed the factory's production line to prepare for the mass production of ET7. Get ready.

At the same time, the second-generation power station announced on 2021 NIO DAY has been deployed on April 15th. The battery compartment of the second-generation replacement station can hold up to 13 batteries, and the daily service capacity of a single station can reach 312 times, which further shortens the replacement time.

There is no need to get off the car for the whole process of the second-generation battery replacement. After all the vehicles are upgraded, one-key automatic parking and one-key self-service battery replacement can be realized.

As an important part of the NIO charging and swapping system, the second-generation swap station will be gradually launched nationwide in the future.

At present, NIO has built 206 swap stations, covering 77 cities. This year's goal for second-generation power stations is to increase to at least 500. At the same time, NIO will increase the construction of overcharging networks and destination charging piles.

So far, NIO has deployed more than 146 overcharging stations and 1826 destination charging piles in China and plans to reach 600 and 15,000 by the end of 2021, respectively.

On April 15, NIO and Sinopec formally signed a strategic cooperation agreement, and the two parties will work together to build a charging and swapping infrastructure.

This strategic cooperation will effectively guarantee the location resources of NIO's charging and swapping infrastructure, enhance the experience of electric vehicle users, and facilitate the further conversion of fuel vehicle users.

NIO also released the Power North plan: In the next three years, NIO plans to deploy 100 power station swaps, 120 mobile charging vehicles, 500 overcharging stations, and more than 2,000 overcharging piles in eight provinces and regions in northern China. And 10,000 destination charging piles.

NIO currently has 23 NIO centers and 211 NIO spaces in terms of sales and service network, covering 123 cities in China. At the same time, NIO currently has 33 NIO service centers and 162 authorized service centers.

Based on the continuous improvement of operational efficiency, NIO will continue to expand the after-sales service network layout in 2021 and further improve the after-sales service system.

Comments

How to judge the market entry signal?

buy sell Most people lose money when investing in stocks. One of the biggest reasons is that they buy stocks at the wrong time. Why did they buy the stock at the wrong time? Facts have proved that many people do not know that stocks only rise 1/4 times, and that is the easiest time to make money. And in another 3/4 of the time, making money is difficult, and losing money is easier. Today, I will share how to choose the right time to buy stocks. I hope you can see the final result because, in the end, I will share with you how to use simple technical indicators to help us find the exact input time. First of all, everyone must know a concept, whether it is a stock market or a stock, there are four stages. Let us take the stock market as an example. The first stage is called the "next stage". At this time, the market has just experienced a sharp decline, and most investors in the market are not interested in the stock market, because their memories are still stuck in t...

NVDA Stock Forecast and Analysis: 3 opportunities and 2 risks

What are the 3 opportunities and 2 risks for NVIDIA? How to invest in NVIDIA stock? NVIDIA(NVDA) stock buy or sell？ NVIDIA Stock Forecast and Analysis 2021 First, because in the third quarter of 2020, NVIDIA's revenue and profit have set record highs. Among them, revenue was 4.73 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 57% year-on-year, and analysts expected it to be 4.41 billion U.S. dollars. NVIDIA's revenue Earnings per share were 2.91 US dollars, analysts expected to be 2.57 US dollars. It can be seen that both revenue and profit have exceeded analysts’ expectations. NVIDIA expects its fourth-quarter revenue to be US$4.8 billion, in line with analysts’ expectations of US$4.42 billion. Second, the current market value of NVIDIA is much higher than the combined market value of Intel and AMD. From the beginning of the year to now, NVIDIA has risen by 123%, AMD has risen by 87%, Intel has fallen by 24%, TSMC has risen by 64%, and the Nasdaq has risen by 33%. It can be seen that bo...

AMD stock forecast 2025: Q2 is expected to perform strongly

Before the US stock market on July 19, US technology stocks continued their decline last Friday, and AMD's stock price also continued to fall. AMD will announce the results of the second quarter of 2021 on July 27. The market expects this performance to be strong, so this round of decline may be a great opportunity to buy the stock. financial indicator Due to the strong market demand for CPU and graphics cards in 2021, AMD’s revenue is expected to exceed the maximum value of the financial guidance. AMD’s C&G business is expected to grow the most because higher-priced AMD Ryzen and high-end AMD Radeon sales continue to increase. In terms of gross profit margin, the market expects AMD's gross profit margin in Q2 2021 will increase by 47% year-on-year. If the average selling prices of CPUs and GPUs continue to rise in Q2 of 2021, and the ASPs of CPUs and GPUs will increase in Q1 of 2021, the gross profit margin may also increase by 48%. CPU market sh...

Cloudflare's 4Q 2021 earnings report

Just took a look at Cloudflare's (NET) 4Q 2021 earnings report. Cloudflare is in an area that covers several hot spots, including content delivery networks, i.e. CDNs, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. For the Cloudflare quarterly report, here is a summary: 1) Revenue of $194 million (then expected 4Q revenue in the range of $184 to $185 million), up 52% year-over-year ($172 million in 2021, up 51% year-over-year). 2) The number of customers continues to grow rapidly, with the total number of customers has reached 1416 (1260 in the previous quarter). 3) Non-GAAP gross margin was 79.2% vs. 78.1% in the same quarter last year (vs. 79.2% in 3Q vs. 77.3% in the same quarter last year.) Non-GAAP net income has started to turn around, meaning it has started to be profitable. 4) Revenue is expected to be in the range of $205 to $206 million in 4Q. That works out to about 6% YoY growth. Cloudflare had good results this time, beating its previous guidance. Revenues are still growing at a...

What is a spac stock in the Investment market?

Let me talk about SPAC first. SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) means "Special Purpose Acquisition Company", also known as "Blank Check" or "Shell Company". As the name suggests, this company has no actual business, and its essence is a financial innovation tool that provides companies with listing services. More simply, SPAC is a shell resource company established by professional institutions such as investment banks and fund companies as promoters. The sole purpose of this company's listing is to find the target company, through reverse mergers and acquisitions, to achieve the target company's listing and financing. Most people pay attention to SPAC from 2020, but in fact, SPAC is nothing new. The SPAC structure was first born in the 1990s and was pioneered by David Nabers, who worked for the Wall Street investment bank GKN. However, in the past few decades, compared with traditional IPOs, the number of SPACs is very limited, and ...

How to judge the diffusive horn pattern ?

As an investment trader, you must understand the use of chart technology analysis to determine the position of market transactions. Now let's talk about a common pattern in chart technical analysis, which is the diffuse speaker pattern. Diffusion horn patterns are different from trend patterns and horizontal patterns. Diffusion horn patterns are more difficult to judge than trend patterns and horizontal patterns, and often cause losses to investment traders. So, how do investment traders judge the spreading horn pattern and make favorable investment transactions? S&P500 Index The price trend of the diffusive horn pattern. When the price rises over some time, then the price falls, and falls below the recent low, then rises, and rises through the last high. It keeps expanding in two directions. If we connect the high point and the low point with straight lines, respectively, we can show a horn shape, so it is called a diffuse horn shape. Because of this, some i...

Capital Flows Tracking Weekly

Release: January 27, 2021 The weekly Capital Flows estimate the industry's total, based on the report covering more than 98% of mutual fund and ETF assets. Collect actual mutual fund net new cash flows and ETF net issuance together monthly; therefore, there is a discrepancy between these weekly estimates and monthly flows. The data from the previous few weeks reflect revisions due to data adjustments, reclassifications, and changes in the number of fund reports. Mutual fund data represents the estimated value of net new cash flows, that is, new sales minus redemptions plus net exchanges, while exchange-traded fund (ETF) data represents net issuance, that is, net issuance minus total Redemption amount. This series does not include data on mutual funds that primarily invest in other mutual funds and ETFs that primarily invest in other ETFs.

AMZN stock forecast 2025： Amazon's main advantages

On July 6, after the US stock market opened, Amazon broke through $3,600, a record high. Amazon has been oscillating between 3000-3500 US dollars in the past year, and the stock price finally broke through. Amazon is a stock that has a high valuation from PE but is seriously undervalued by the market from the perspective of its development prospects. It is one of my favorite technology stocks. Amazon's main advantages are: 1. Amazon's current GMV is only half that of Alibaba. Looking at the current penetration rate of e-commerce in China and the future penetration rate of e-commerce in the United States, we will find that Amazon e-commerce has huge growth potential in the United States. Amazon e-commerce is far from saturated in the United States. 2. Cloud computing has unlimited potential. As the industry leader, Amazon's cloud computing can maintain a growth rate of 20%-30% for many years in the future. 3. The international ...

C3.ai stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy now?

Few emerging technologies are as exciting as artificial intelligence. We have witnessed its ability to be applied in new ways, from quickly analyzing large amounts of data to improve the efficiency of hardware and software. C3.ai(AI) is one of the only companies in the world that develop artificial intelligence into independent services. In short, artificial intelligence is its entire business. Investors avoided such stocks this year because large technology companies began to engage in artificial intelligence projects, raising concerns about increased competitive threats. However, C3.ai continued to increase revenue, narrowed its losses, and added 82% of its customers in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021. Therefore, the stock price has fallen about 60% so far this year, which may be a huge opportunity for those who want to get involved in this field. A unique business case Imagine that if a company needs to develop its own artificial intelligence, sim...

Can Apple（AAPL） icar end the dominance of Tesla（TSLA）?

Beginning in 2014, Apple started a plan for electric vehicles developed by "Project Titan". In the Apple electric car project, in the past few years, internal conflicts, leadership issues, and other issues have affected the entire project. The rumors in 2016 even hinted that Apple had shelved plans for the car, but Apple has overcome the development difficulties and still plans to develop consumers Car, The Apple car project has changed the leadership many times, and hundreds of employees have been laid off during the development process. In the past few years, there have been rumors that Apple has shifted its focus to autonomous driving software instead of just a car. In June 2017, Apple CEO Tim Cook publicly talked about Apple’s work on autonomous driving software, which rarely confirmed Apple’s development work, because Apple usually does not share the details it is studying, but when it comes to cars When it comes to software, due to legal restrictions, it has to apply fo...

FinanceLinkway

Search This Blog