Skip to main content

SQ, TDOC, VRTX: Cathie Wood is optimistic about doubling stocks


When Cathie Wood buys stocks, investors will follow her to buy, which seems to be the latest trend in the investment world.

 In the popular saying, following Cathie Wood, there is money to be made.  Even some time ago due to the rise in U.S. Treasury yields, technology stocks plummeted, and ARK funds suffered a frantic sell-off. Wood is still as stable as a mountain, and he issued a statement saying that everything was as early as we expected and was better than we expected.  Technology stocks are a good time to buy bottoms and increase positions.  Today, I will analyze Cathie Wood's heavy holdings from the company's fundamentals and future market prospects. Can it double in the long run?

 Square (ranked first in ARKK's innovative technology ETF)

 The financial technology giant Square is a revolutionary stock in the financial industry, breaking the traditional payment industry.  Square is known for its seller ecosystem, which provides small businesses with point-of-sale solutions and analytical tools.  In return, Square collects merchant fees as revenue from the gross payment volume (Gross Payment Volume, GPV) of the network.  Between 2012 and 2019, this GPV soared from US$6.5 billion to US$106.2 billion.  Although GPV may decline in 2020 due to the epidemic, the compound annual growth rate from 2012 to 2019 is 49%, indicating that it will return to its previous level in 2021.

 It is worth noting that the Square seller ecosystem has been very effective in attracting larger merchants in recent years.  Merchants with an average annual GPV of at least US$125,000 in the third quarter of 2020 accounted for 61% of the total GPV.  Because this is a merchant fee-driven business, so more large companies use the platform to make Square make more money.  Cash App had more than 36 million active users in the fourth quarter, an increase of 50% over the same period last year.  Square is also gradually increasing the features available on the Cash App, making it more and more popular for individuals to conduct a wide range of financial transactions.

 Of course, Square's peer-to-peer payment platform Cash App provides the largest amount of business.  As millennials promote more digital payment methods, the monthly active user base of Cash App has surged (7 million at the end of 2017 and 30 million by mid-2020).  Cash App provides Square with a variety of income collection methods, including payment transfer fees, merchant fees, investment, and bitcoin exchange fees.  Cash App should become the main driver of the company's gross profit in 2021.

 Overall, Square is a value growth stock.  The company's current market value is about 103 billion US dollars, which is equivalent to 196 times PE and 7.8 times PS.

 Square achieved initial success by providing payment processing services for small and medium businesses.  Over time, the company expanded its products and services to include point-of-sale software, e-commerce platforms, payroll services, business debit cards, etc.  Starting this month, Square now also operates a federally chartered bank.  This opened the door for Square to provide small business loans to its customers.

 The current transition from cash to digital payment is still in its infancy.  Square is expected to grow through its sellers and Cash App ecosystem, and in the process will bring substantial benefits to investors.

 Teladoc Health (Leader in Telemedicine)

 Due to the epidemic, the development of telemedicine has made real progress in 2020.  Teladoc Health is one of the biggest winners.  Its stock price soared by nearly 140%.

 However, so far, TDOC is still in the early stages of telemedicine.  According to data, after the epidemic is over, the annual telemedicine market in the United States will grow to about 250 billion US dollars. If the international market is added, this number will be even greater, and TDOC will be less than 30 billion US dollars.  There is still enough space.

 TDOC should be the biggest beneficiary among them.  Although Amazon announced plans to launch Amazon Care telemedicine services to its American employees this summer.  Amazon also intends to provide the service to other companies later in 2021 to participate in the competition in the telemedicine market.  But Mu Ji disagrees, thinking that Amazon will not pose a threat to TDOC.  Continue to increase TDOC.

 Sister Mu believes that TDOC is the global leader in virtual care.  So far, more than 40% of Fortune 500 companies use TDOC's services, and it provides more comprehensive products than its competitors.  The most important thing is that the growth prospects of TDOC are very broad, and the development space of telemedicine is large enough.  Coupled with TDOC's acquisition of Livongo Health, which operates a digital health platform that can help individuals manage chronic diseases, which creates a huge cross-selling opportunity.

 Vertex Pharmaceuticals

 ARK Genomic Revolution ETF ranked sixth

 Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX) is currently the strongest performer among all the top stocks of Wood's ETF.  Large biotech companies do not have any competitors in their core markets.  Vertex's four approved cystic fibrosis drugs are the only drugs that treat the underlying cause of genetic diseases.

 Vertex also uses its expertise to target other rare genetic diseases.  It expects to report the key results of a Phase 2 study evaluating VX-864 in the treatment of liver disease alpha-1 antitrypsin deficiency in the next few months.  The company's product line also includes candidates for rare blood diseases β thalassemia and sickle cell disease and rare kidney disease focal segmental glomerulosclerosis.

 And Vertex has the potential to change conventional treatment methods, and this treatment has just entered Phase 1/2 research.  If the cell therapy VX-880 succeeds in clinical trials, it may be able to enable type 1 diabetes patients to live independently of insulin.

 Vertex has a cash reserve of 6.6 billion U.S. dollars and plans to use it to recruit mid- and late-stage candidates to further strengthen its product line.  In the next few years, this biotech stock will continue to be a big winner.  In the long run, both financial technology and telemedicine are closely related to people’s lives. These are the general trends in which people’s living habits are being reshaped and the new trends in future technological development. These general trends may be in the next few decades.  In the span, change the global social, economic, and political landscape.  It is believed that investors will continue to benefit from these changes and generate high returns.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Palantir stock forecast 2025: What kind of company is PLTR?

 PLTR introduced today may be the most controversial company in the current market, not one of them.  As a stock, he is the faith stock of many retail investors. Those who believe in it generally believe that its stock price can double at least ten times in the future.  Catherine Wood, the president of the ARK Fund, nicknamed "the light of retail investors," continues to buy the stock, which is also highly sought after on the WSB forum; on the contrary, most analysts on Wall Street are not optimistic about its development.  The average target price at the end of 2021 is still 10% lower than the current stock price.  As a company, its revenue is growing steadily and rapidly, with an annual growth rate of about 30% per year. However, the company has never achieved profitability in the past 20 years since its establishment.  As a high-tech enterprise, the company is full of various genius ideas and the top talents in the industry, but they are mostly engaged i...

NIO stock forecast 2025: 2021 Q1 report analysis

 April 30, NIO announced the first quarter of the 2021 financial report.  Revenue reached 7.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 481.8%, and a month-on-month increase of 20.2%; gross profit was 1.5548 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 36.2%, and last year was -167.5 million yuan; a net loss of 350 million yuan was significantly narrowed year-on-year and month-on-month.  Various indicators show that NIO's performance in the first quarter of this year is very impressive.  Gross profit margin exceeds 20% for the first time  NIO’s Q1 car sales were 7.40058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 489.8% and a month-on-month increase of 20.0%.  The gross profit margin of automobile sales was 21.2%, exceeding 20% ​​for the first time, a significant increase from -7.4% in Q1 of 2020 and 17.2% in Q4 of 2020.  In addition, Weilai's Q1 comprehensive gross profit margin in 2021 will also reach 19.5%.  The founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO sai...

VRTX stock forecast 2025: Vertex is undervalued

Let's look at some biotech companies with stable cash flow and currently undervalued value stocks as targets for diversified portfolios.  The company I shared today, called Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), is dedicated to the development of rare diseases, especially Cystic Fibrosis (CF). I have always had high respect for the rare disease group of pharmaceutical companies in the disease category. In addition, in the future, gene and cell therapies are subverting the role of rare diseases in the pharmaceutical industry, making rare diseases no longer uncommon. It's tasteless, but a field full of the future. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. was established in 1989 by Joshua Boger and Kevin Kinsella. is headquartered in Boston. At that time, several very good research and development companies were established in the United States, including the aforementioned Regeneron, Gilead, and today's Vertex.  Vertex In the past, he devoted himself to the development of small molecule drugs, wh...

AMD stock forecast 2025: Q2 is expected to perform strongly

Before the US stock market on July 19, US technology stocks continued their decline last Friday, and AMD's stock price also continued to fall.  AMD will announce the results of the second quarter of 2021 on July 27. The market expects this performance to be strong, so this round of decline may be a great opportunity to buy the stock.  financial indicator  Due to the strong market demand for CPU and graphics cards in 2021, AMD’s revenue is expected to exceed the maximum value of the financial guidance. AMD’s C&G business is expected to grow the most because higher-priced AMD Ryzen and high-end AMD Radeon sales continue to increase.  In terms of gross profit margin, the market expects AMD's gross profit margin in Q2 2021 will increase by 47% year-on-year.  If the average selling prices of CPUs and GPUs continue to rise in Q2 of 2021, and the ASPs of CPUs and GPUs will increase in Q1 of 2021, the gross profit margin may also increase by 48%.  CPU market sh...

Teladoc stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy TDOC?

 TDOC's performance exceeded expectations. Why did the performance decline after the announcement?  Teladoc (TDOC) reported quarterly earnings of US$0.13 per share, which exceeded the consensus estimate of a loss of US$0.57 per share. In the same period last year, it had a loss of US$0.4 per share.  The earnings of this financial report far exceeded expectations.  In the last quarter, people expected this telemedicine service company to lose 0.25 US dollars per share, but the actual loss per share was 0.27 US dollars, which was not as good as expected at the time.  In the past four quarters, TDOC exceeded expectations twice.  The management stated that the company's current momentum in various channels and regions should not be underestimated in the conference call. It has raised its annual revenue guidance to 20 million U.S. dollars, which is expected to be between 1.97 billion and 2.02 billion U.S. dollars.    In the first quarter, the comp...

Why has international oil(USO) prices plummeted?

As OPEC and Russia failed in negotiations and could not reach an agreement to reduce production, Saudi Arabia issued a comprehensive production increase announcement. Russia followed Saudi Arabia to increase production.  Due to the sharp increase in oil supply, international oil prices plummeted, and US stocks were affected by the spread of the epidemic, and international oil prices The plunge, the U.S. stock market plummeted, triggering multiple fuses. S&P500 Index Oil is a commodity whose price is affected by supply and demand. When oil production increases, supply increases, prices fall, and at the same time affected by the epidemic, demand decreases, and prices also fall. Oil supply increases and demand decreases, which is the main cause of the plunge in international oil prices. In terms of oil supply, since the United States developed shale oil, US oil production has become the world's largest. The production cost of shale oil is more than US $ 40, which is the ...

TSM Stock Forecast and Price Target 2021

Today, I will analyze TSMC stocks in-depth with you. In the semiconductor sector, TSMC has always been my most promising stock. TSMC has just announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2020. At the same time, there are new developments in the entire chip industry recently. Therefore, today I will combine the financial report and chips. The latest developments in the industry to analyze the trend of TSMC stocks, First of all, we analyze TSMC’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial reports to see what are the key points worthy of investors’ attention. First, TSMC’s fourth-quarter revenue and profitability are very good.  Compared with the outlook for Q4 in Q3, the outlook at that time was US$12.4-12.7 billion, and the actual revenue was US$12.68 billion. Actual revenue As the upper limit of the outlook, the gross profit margin outlook is 51.5%-53.5%, while the actual gross profit margin is 54%, which is better than the outlook. The operating net profit margin is expected t...

Cloudflare's 4Q 2021 earnings report

 Just took a look at Cloudflare's (NET) 4Q 2021 earnings report. Cloudflare is in an area that covers several hot spots, including content delivery networks, i.e. CDNs, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. For the Cloudflare quarterly report, here is a summary: 1) Revenue of $194 million (then expected 4Q revenue in the range of $184 to $185 million), up 52% year-over-year ($172 million in 2021, up 51% year-over-year). 2) The number of customers continues to grow rapidly, with the total number of customers has reached 1416 (1260 in the previous quarter). 3) Non-GAAP gross margin was 79.2% vs. 78.1% in the same quarter last year (vs. 79.2% in 3Q vs. 77.3% in the same quarter last year.) Non-GAAP net income has started to turn around, meaning it has started to be profitable. 4) Revenue is expected to be in the range of $205 to $206 million in 4Q. That works out to about 6% YoY growth. Cloudflare had good results this time, beating its previous guidance. Revenues are still growing at a...

NIO stock forecast 2025: Core technologies

In terms of new forces in car manufacturing, industry participants have entered the fast lane in areas such as new product releases and intelligent driving. With the "general trend" of the popularization of electric vehicles, you will catch up. For NIO, which is the first to deploy the electric vehicle industry, whether ET7 can take the industry pioneer into the "overtaking lane" and continue to be at the forefront of the industry. Examining NIO's strategic measures is an effective way to try to find answers. Way, especially in the context of the “general trend” of electric vehicles.  NIO's Core technologies:  1. At present and for a period of time, the price, performance iteration, and supply of batteries and core raw materials will be the core factors that determine the popularization of pure electric vehicles, and determine a series of trends in the market and participants.  Lithium is an indispensable and important element of power batteries. The comme...

Safe-haven assets(GLD) are flowing into the market?

On March 9, 2020, the US Dow Jones Index plunged more than 2,000 points, the U.S. stock market crashed, the investment market was full of fear, and market funds flowed into those safe-haven assets? With the spread of the epidemic, the market's risk aversion has continued to increase, and the stock market has continued to fall. As an investor, to reduce investment risks, you must buy safe-haven assets, reduce the purchase or sale of assets in the stock market, and avoid a sharp decline in the stock market, which will cause serious losses. When market risks continue to increase, investors will continue to buy safe-haven assets. Investors should pay attention to the following several safe-haven assets and use them as safe-havens. Dow Jones Index The first safe-haven asset is gold. Gold(GLD), as a traditional anti-inflation commodity, has always been the preferred safe-haven asset for investors. GLD The second safe-haven asset is the Japanese yen. Because the Japanese y...