Skip to main content

10 stocks tell you why U.S. stocks plunged!



On February 24, 2020, the U.S. stock market plummeted by 1,000 points. Since the outbreak of the new coronavirus epidemic, although market funds have already begun to flow into safe-haven assets such as gold and bond markets, the epidemic does not seem to have an impact on the stock market trend. 

As the new coronavirus epidemic spread further, and companies began to publish performance reports, investors began to worry that the epidemic would affect the company's next quarter's profit growth and made predictions for the company's next quarter's performance. 

Analysts lowered the companies The profit forecast for the next quarter, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in March, the Fed's rate cut indicates that the economy may further decline.

S & P 500 Index
Fed watch


As an investor, you need to know how to value a company using PEG indicators. Generally speaking, the valuation using the PEG indicator is more accurate, but it is only used to analyze the latest quarterly data, because the company's profit growth is always changing, and the long-term valuation of the company may not be applicable. The so-called PEG indicator is the company's price-earnings ratio (PE) divided by the company's annual growth rate of earnings per share (G). 

(PE) simply reflects the current value of a stock, and PEG links the current value of the stock to the earnings growth of the stock. For example, the current price-earnings ratio of a stock is 20 times, and the performance report shows that the annual growth rate of EPS is 20%, then the PEG of this stock is 1. When PEG equals 1, it indicates that the valuation given to this stock by the market can fully reflect the growth of its performance.

PEG = PE / G x100

If the PEG is greater than 1, the value of the stock may be overvalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is lower than market expectations. When the PEG is less than 1, the value of the stock may be undervalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is higher than the market's expectations. 

Usually, the company's profit is in the growth stage, and the PEG index will be lower than 1. Investors need to note that like other financial indicators, PEG cannot be used alone, and must be combined with other indicators. The most important thing here is the expectations of the company's performance.

Then, by analyzing the company's profit forecast for the next quarter, we analyze the PEG index of the ten weighted stocks of the S & P 500 index.

Microsoft  PEG=0.96


Apple  PEG=1.38


Amazon  PEG=2.421


Google  PEG=2.24


JPMorgan  PEG=0.77


Johnson & Johnson  PEG=4.28


Visa  PEG=2.48


Procter & Gamble PEG=9.52


Mastercard  PEG=2.16


Facebook  PEG=1.63

The analysis of the PEG index of the top ten heavyweights of the S & P 500 shows that the value of most companies' stocks is overvalued, so the decline in company stock prices is reasonable, and the value of the US stock market may also be overvalued, causing the US stock market to fall.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

VRTX stock forecast 2025: Vertex is undervalued

Let's look at some biotech companies with stable cash flow and currently undervalued value stocks as targets for diversified portfolios.  The company I shared today, called Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), is dedicated to the development of rare diseases, especially Cystic Fibrosis (CF). I have always had high respect for the rare disease group of pharmaceutical companies in the disease category. In addition, in the future, gene and cell therapies are subverting the role of rare diseases in the pharmaceutical industry, making rare diseases no longer uncommon. It's tasteless, but a field full of the future. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. was established in 1989 by Joshua Boger and Kevin Kinsella. is headquartered in Boston. At that time, several very good research and development companies were established in the United States, including the aforementioned Regeneron, Gilead, and today's Vertex.  Vertex In the past, he devoted himself to the development of small molecule drugs, wh...

Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

 On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound.  How is this going?  Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled.  The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe:  1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists;  2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth.  Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “...

Bitcoin crashed! In a word of Musk, the digital currency plummeted!

Ethereum is thriving, what logic?  The world's second-largest digital currency, Ethereum, is continuing to challenge the influence of Bitcoin by its "functionality".  On the morning of May 13th, the price of Bitcoin plummeted by more than 13% and once fell below the $50,000 mark. As a challenger to Bitcoin, Ethereum fell by about 8% and continued to narrow its decline. The previous day, Ether  The market rose by 6% during the intraday session, with a market value exceeding US$500 billion, and its price hitting a record high.   In the past 6 months, the price of Ethereum has risen by as much as 8 times, out of the independent market, has far outperformed the continued consolidation of Bitcoin.  At present, the share of Ethereum in digital currencies' total global market value has risen to 18%, while the weight of Bitcoin's market value has been cut in the past two years, and the current market value has dropped to 38%.  On the morning of May 13, there w...

ASML stock forecast 2025: is it time to buy now?

Hello everyone, recently, because the market has a lot of fears about rising interest rates and shrinking the balance sheet, the Nasdaq as a whole has fallen a lot, and each support has basically been broken one after another. The general price has also broken, so there is no good signal to increase positions in the short term. It may be safer to hold cash first and wait until the decline begins to slow down a little or see a really cost-effective price before considering adding positions. However, the long-term bull market in the future will not end because of this year's interest rate hike, and cash will only become more and more worthless in the long run. In the short-term continuous decline of the stock market, we must put our minds in a positive state. At the same time, we must properly organize our thoughts and positions, prepare bullets, and use this time to do our homework for the stocks we are interested in. In this way, when a good price appears in the future, you will be...

AMD stock forecast 2025: Q2 is expected to perform strongly

Before the US stock market on July 19, US technology stocks continued their decline last Friday, and AMD's stock price also continued to fall.  AMD will announce the results of the second quarter of 2021 on July 27. The market expects this performance to be strong, so this round of decline may be a great opportunity to buy the stock.  financial indicator  Due to the strong market demand for CPU and graphics cards in 2021, AMD’s revenue is expected to exceed the maximum value of the financial guidance. AMD’s C&G business is expected to grow the most because higher-priced AMD Ryzen and high-end AMD Radeon sales continue to increase.  In terms of gross profit margin, the market expects AMD's gross profit margin in Q2 2021 will increase by 47% year-on-year.  If the average selling prices of CPUs and GPUs continue to rise in Q2 of 2021, and the ASPs of CPUs and GPUs will increase in Q1 of 2021, the gross profit margin may also increase by 48%.  CPU market sh...

Cloudflare's 4Q 2021 earnings report

 Just took a look at Cloudflare's (NET) 4Q 2021 earnings report. Cloudflare is in an area that covers several hot spots, including content delivery networks, i.e. CDNs, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. For the Cloudflare quarterly report, here is a summary: 1) Revenue of $194 million (then expected 4Q revenue in the range of $184 to $185 million), up 52% year-over-year ($172 million in 2021, up 51% year-over-year). 2) The number of customers continues to grow rapidly, with the total number of customers has reached 1416 (1260 in the previous quarter). 3) Non-GAAP gross margin was 79.2% vs. 78.1% in the same quarter last year (vs. 79.2% in 3Q vs. 77.3% in the same quarter last year.) Non-GAAP net income has started to turn around, meaning it has started to be profitable. 4) Revenue is expected to be in the range of $205 to $206 million in 4Q. That works out to about 6% YoY growth. Cloudflare had good results this time, beating its previous guidance. Revenues are still growing at a...

Bitcoin vs Ethereum vs Dogecoin: Which one is suitable to buy?

 Bitcoin(BTC), Ethereum(ETH), and Dogecoin(DOGE) are the three most-watched cryptocurrencies.  As a young investor, he has a strong mentality of pursuing returns and accepting new things. In recent years, cryptocurrencies have become the new favorites of many people. In particular, these three digital currencies have attracted the most attention: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin.  However, not all cryptocurrencies are created equally and trying to determine which type is right for you can cause confusion.  Each currency has advantages and disadvantages, and which currency you choose to invest in will depend on your situation.  Investing in cryptocurrency must bear the risk  First of all, you must consider whether cryptocurrencies are suitable for you because all cryptocurrencies are highly speculative and subject to great volatility. They have experienced the "currency disaster" in recent weeks, with an adjustable-rate of more than 30%.    Fur...

4 economic indicators that must be observed!

  Stocks are one of the simplest and most passive types of income, but when we invest in the stock market, we always feel that the current stock price is on the high side, but if we don’t enter the market to buy stocks, we are afraid that the stock price will continue to rise. When the U.S. stock market continues to hit new highs, should it enter the market or should it wait and see and wait for the crash to enter the market.  First of all, I want to declare that I am a value investor and insist on the BUY AND HOLD operation method. We all know that stocks are cyclical, and we are now experiencing the longest bull market in history. Stock market analysts believe that a crash may come at any time, but we just have no way to predict the specific time. I believe everyone understands. But I know that a bear market will definitely come. The long-term trend of stocks often has several economic data as a reference. Today we will take a look at these economic data. source: tradingview...

Bitcoin will eventually lose its king status! Replaced by Ethereum

 Considering many factors such as real use, user base, technological iteration speed, etc., Ethereum is likely to replace Bitcoin as the mainstream cryptocurrency.  In terms of market trends, the key difference between the current cryptocurrency market and the 2017-2018 bull market is the participation of institutional investors.  However, with the recent slowdown in the participation of institutional investors, the inflow of cryptocurrency ETFs has decreased, alternative currencies have emerged one after another, and the market has once again been dominated by retail investors.  This shift from institutions to retail investors is increasing the possibility of a market crash.  The current high volatility in the market will continue until cryptocurrencies have potential real economic uses independent of prices.  Etherfang has huge potential  The Ethereum system supports smart contracts and provides developers with a way to create new applications. ...

Capital Flows Tracking Weekly

Release:  January 27, 2021 The weekly Capital Flows estimate the industry's total, based on the report covering more than 98% of mutual fund and ETF assets. Collect actual mutual fund net new cash flows and ETF net issuance together monthly; therefore, there is a discrepancy between these weekly estimates and monthly flows. The data from the previous few weeks reflect revisions due to data adjustments, reclassifications, and changes in the number of fund reports.  Mutual fund data represents the estimated value of net new cash flows, that is, new sales minus redemptions plus net exchanges, while exchange-traded fund (ETF) data represents net issuance, that is, net issuance minus total Redemption amount. This series does not include data on mutual funds that primarily invest in other mutual funds and ETFs that primarily invest in other ETFs.