10 stocks tell you why U.S. stocks plunged!

On February 24, 2020, the U.S. stock market plummeted by 1,000 points. Since the outbreak of the new coronavirus epidemic, although market funds have already begun to flow into safe-haven assets such as gold and bond markets, the epidemic does not seem to have an impact on the stock market trend.

As the new coronavirus epidemic spread further, and companies began to publish performance reports, investors began to worry that the epidemic would affect the company's next quarter's profit growth and made predictions for the company's next quarter's performance.

Analysts lowered the companies The profit forecast for the next quarter, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in March, the Fed's rate cut indicates that the economy may further decline.

S & P 500 Index

Fed watch

As an investor, you need to know how to value a company using PEG indicators. Generally speaking, the valuation using the PEG indicator is more accurate, but it is only used to analyze the latest quarterly data, because the company's profit growth is always changing, and the long-term valuation of the company may not be applicable. The so-called PEG indicator is the company's price-earnings ratio (PE) divided by the company's annual growth rate of earnings per share (G).

(PE) simply reflects the current value of a stock, and PEG links the current value of the stock to the earnings growth of the stock. For example, the current price-earnings ratio of a stock is 20 times, and the performance report shows that the annual growth rate of EPS is 20%, then the PEG of this stock is 1. When PEG equals 1, it indicates that the valuation given to this stock by the market can fully reflect the growth of its performance.

PEG = PE / G x100

If the PEG is greater than 1, the value of the stock may be overvalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is lower than market expectations. When the PEG is less than 1, the value of the stock may be undervalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is higher than the market's expectations.

Usually, the company's profit is in the growth stage, and the PEG index will be lower than 1. Investors need to note that like other financial indicators, PEG cannot be used alone, and must be combined with other indicators. The most important thing here is the expectations of the company's performance.

Then, by analyzing the company's profit forecast for the next quarter, we analyze the PEG index of the ten weighted stocks of the S & P 500 index.

Microsoft PEG=0.96

Apple PEG=1.38

Amazon PEG=2.421

Google PEG=2.24

JPMorgan PEG=0.77

Johnson & Johnson PEG=4.28

Visa PEG=2.48

Procter & Gamble PEG=9.52

Mastercard PEG=2.16

Facebook PEG=1.63

The analysis of the PEG index of the top ten heavyweights of the S & P 500 shows that the value of most companies' stocks is overvalued, so the decline in company stock prices is reasonable, and the value of the US stock market may also be overvalued, causing the US stock market to fall.

Comments

Bitcoin will eventually lose its king status! Replaced by Ethereum

Considering many factors such as real use, user base, technological iteration speed, etc., Ethereum is likely to replace Bitcoin as the mainstream cryptocurrency. In terms of market trends, the key difference between the current cryptocurrency market and the 2017-2018 bull market is the participation of institutional investors. However, with the recent slowdown in the participation of institutional investors, the inflow of cryptocurrency ETFs has decreased, alternative currencies have emerged one after another, and the market has once again been dominated by retail investors. This shift from institutions to retail investors is increasing the possibility of a market crash. The current high volatility in the market will continue until cryptocurrencies have potential real economic uses independent of prices. Etherfang has huge potential The Ethereum system supports smart contracts and provides developers with a way to create new applications. ...

AMZN stock forecast 2025： Amazon's main advantages

On July 6, after the US stock market opened, Amazon broke through $3,600, a record high. Amazon has been oscillating between 3000-3500 US dollars in the past year, and the stock price finally broke through. Amazon is a stock that has a high valuation from PE but is seriously undervalued by the market from the perspective of its development prospects. It is one of my favorite technology stocks. Amazon's main advantages are: 1. Amazon's current GMV is only half that of Alibaba. Looking at the current penetration rate of e-commerce in China and the future penetration rate of e-commerce in the United States, we will find that Amazon e-commerce has huge growth potential in the United States. Amazon e-commerce is far from saturated in the United States. 2. Cloud computing has unlimited potential. As the industry leader, Amazon's cloud computing can maintain a growth rate of 20%-30% for many years in the future. 3. The international ...

PLTR stock forecast 2025： Cathie Woods increased Palantir stock position

Software company Palantir (PLTR) released the latest quarterly earnings report, which performed very well. After the financial report, Palantir's stock price soared to 14.64% at the highest point. At the same time, the keen Cathie Woods also bought $140 million in Palantir stock. I won't talk about Palantir's specific business. If you don't know much about it, you can go back to my previous article. Let's talk back to the financial report. Benefiting from the benefits of the US government’s contract renewal, Palantir’s earnings per share and total revenue both beat expectations for this quarter’s earnings report. Among them, earnings per share were $0.04, beating the expected $0.01; total revenue was 376 million, an increase of 49% from the same period last year, slightly higher than the expected $361 million. Although the extent of beating expectations is not very large, the biggest highlight of the financial report is to broaden the business. ...

Coinbase stock forecast 2025: it's first quarterly report

After the trading hours on May 13 (this Thursday), Coinbase Global (COIN) will release its first quarterly report. Take this opportunity to give us a glimpse of the prospects of the first share of cryptocurrency exchanges. Actually, on April 6, before Coinbase went public, it had already released a forecast for the first quarter of this year. The core data are as follows: Revenue in the first quarter was approximately US$1.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 842%; before the net profit was between US$730 million and US$800 million, the median was US$765 million, a year-on-year increase of nearly 23 times! Assets on the platform are 223 billion US dollars, accounting for 11.3% of the market share of encrypted assets; 56 million verified users, and 6.1 million monthly transaction users (MTU). It is worth noting that Coinbase's net profit margin reached a terrifying 42.5% in the first quarter, and the business model of “casino” is really profitable! ...

Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF: Is ARKK worth buying?

ARKK ETF by Catherine Wood Catherine Wood's Disruptive Innovation ETF Warren Buffett is a stock god that everyone respected in the past, but in the past year, the female stock god Catherine Wood has become famous for the rising trend of technology stocks, and his head completely overshadows Buffett. Therefore, this time I want to talk to you in detail about the prestigious history of this female stock god. Catherine Wood founded ARK Investment in 2014 and listed the funds under her management under Exchange Traded Funds to facilitate investors to buy and sell, but the management fee is as low as some passive funds that track an index, about 0.75% per year. Ark Investment launched 4 ETFs in September and October 2014. The themes are Next Generation Internet, Automation Technology and Robots, Innovative Technology, and Genetics. Among them, Innovative Technology is currently the flagship ETF of Ark Investment and the most most popular ETF w...

ASML stock forecast 2025: is it time to buy now?

Hello everyone, recently, because the market has a lot of fears about rising interest rates and shrinking the balance sheet, the Nasdaq as a whole has fallen a lot, and each support has basically been broken one after another. The general price has also broken, so there is no good signal to increase positions in the short term. It may be safer to hold cash first and wait until the decline begins to slow down a little or see a really cost-effective price before considering adding positions. However, the long-term bull market in the future will not end because of this year's interest rate hike, and cash will only become more and more worthless in the long run. In the short-term continuous decline of the stock market, we must put our minds in a positive state. At the same time, we must properly organize our thoughts and positions, prepare bullets, and use this time to do our homework for the stocks we are interested in. In this way, when a good price appears in the future, you will be...

Teladoc stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy TDOC?

TDOC's performance exceeded expectations. Why did the performance decline after the announcement? Teladoc (TDOC) reported quarterly earnings of US$0.13 per share, which exceeded the consensus estimate of a loss of US$0.57 per share. In the same period last year, it had a loss of US$0.4 per share. The earnings of this financial report far exceeded expectations. In the last quarter, people expected this telemedicine service company to lose 0.25 US dollars per share, but the actual loss per share was 0.27 US dollars, which was not as good as expected at the time. In the past four quarters, TDOC exceeded expectations twice. The management stated that the company's current momentum in various channels and regions should not be underestimated in the conference call. It has raised its annual revenue guidance to 20 million U.S. dollars, which is expected to be between 1.97 billion and 2.02 billion U.S. dollars. In the first quarter, the comp...

NIO stock forecast 2025: 2021 Q1 report analysis

April 30, NIO announced the first quarter of the 2021 financial report. Revenue reached 7.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 481.8%, and a month-on-month increase of 20.2%; gross profit was 1.5548 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 36.2%, and last year was -167.5 million yuan; a net loss of 350 million yuan was significantly narrowed year-on-year and month-on-month. Various indicators show that NIO's performance in the first quarter of this year is very impressive. Gross profit margin exceeds 20% for the first time NIO’s Q1 car sales were 7.40058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 489.8% and a month-on-month increase of 20.0%. The gross profit margin of automobile sales was 21.2%, exceeding 20% for the first time, a significant increase from -7.4% in Q1 of 2020 and 17.2% in Q4 of 2020. In addition, Weilai's Q1 comprehensive gross profit margin in 2021 will also reach 19.5%. The founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO sai...

Cloudflare's 4Q 2021 earnings report

Just took a look at Cloudflare's (NET) 4Q 2021 earnings report. Cloudflare is in an area that covers several hot spots, including content delivery networks, i.e. CDNs, cloud computing, and cybersecurity. For the Cloudflare quarterly report, here is a summary: 1) Revenue of $194 million (then expected 4Q revenue in the range of $184 to $185 million), up 52% year-over-year ($172 million in 2021, up 51% year-over-year). 2) The number of customers continues to grow rapidly, with the total number of customers has reached 1416 (1260 in the previous quarter). 3) Non-GAAP gross margin was 79.2% vs. 78.1% in the same quarter last year (vs. 79.2% in 3Q vs. 77.3% in the same quarter last year.) Non-GAAP net income has started to turn around, meaning it has started to be profitable. 4) Revenue is expected to be in the range of $205 to $206 million in 4Q. That works out to about 6% YoY growth. Cloudflare had good results this time, beating its previous guidance. Revenues are still growing at a...

What is a spac stock in the Investment market?

Let me talk about SPAC first. SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) means "Special Purpose Acquisition Company", also known as "Blank Check" or "Shell Company". As the name suggests, this company has no actual business, and its essence is a financial innovation tool that provides companies with listing services. More simply, SPAC is a shell resource company established by professional institutions such as investment banks and fund companies as promoters. The sole purpose of this company's listing is to find the target company, through reverse mergers and acquisitions, to achieve the target company's listing and financing. Most people pay attention to SPAC from 2020, but in fact, SPAC is nothing new. The SPAC structure was first born in the 1990s and was pioneered by David Nabers, who worked for the Wall Street investment bank GKN. However, in the past few decades, compared with traditional IPOs, the number of SPACs is very limited, and ...

FinanceLinkway

Search This Blog