Skip to main content

10 stocks tell you why U.S. stocks plunged!



On February 24, 2020, the U.S. stock market plummeted by 1,000 points. Since the outbreak of the new coronavirus epidemic, although market funds have already begun to flow into safe-haven assets such as gold and bond markets, the epidemic does not seem to have an impact on the stock market trend. 

As the new coronavirus epidemic spread further, and companies began to publish performance reports, investors began to worry that the epidemic would affect the company's next quarter's profit growth and made predictions for the company's next quarter's performance. 

Analysts lowered the companies The profit forecast for the next quarter, and the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in March, the Fed's rate cut indicates that the economy may further decline.

S & P 500 Index
Fed watch


As an investor, you need to know how to value a company using PEG indicators. Generally speaking, the valuation using the PEG indicator is more accurate, but it is only used to analyze the latest quarterly data, because the company's profit growth is always changing, and the long-term valuation of the company may not be applicable. The so-called PEG indicator is the company's price-earnings ratio (PE) divided by the company's annual growth rate of earnings per share (G). 

(PE) simply reflects the current value of a stock, and PEG links the current value of the stock to the earnings growth of the stock. For example, the current price-earnings ratio of a stock is 20 times, and the performance report shows that the annual growth rate of EPS is 20%, then the PEG of this stock is 1. When PEG equals 1, it indicates that the valuation given to this stock by the market can fully reflect the growth of its performance.

PEG = PE / G x100

If the PEG is greater than 1, the value of the stock may be overvalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is lower than market expectations. When the PEG is less than 1, the value of the stock may be undervalued, or the market believes that the company's performance growth is higher than the market's expectations. 

Usually, the company's profit is in the growth stage, and the PEG index will be lower than 1. Investors need to note that like other financial indicators, PEG cannot be used alone, and must be combined with other indicators. The most important thing here is the expectations of the company's performance.

Then, by analyzing the company's profit forecast for the next quarter, we analyze the PEG index of the ten weighted stocks of the S & P 500 index.

Microsoft  PEG=0.96


Apple  PEG=1.38


Amazon  PEG=2.421


Google  PEG=2.24


JPMorgan  PEG=0.77


Johnson & Johnson  PEG=4.28


Visa  PEG=2.48


Procter & Gamble PEG=9.52


Mastercard  PEG=2.16


Facebook  PEG=1.63

The analysis of the PEG index of the top ten heavyweights of the S & P 500 shows that the value of most companies' stocks is overvalued, so the decline in company stock prices is reasonable, and the value of the US stock market may also be overvalued, causing the US stock market to fall.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

TSMC VS Nvidia, AMD, Intel. How to choose semiconductor stocks?

The general pattern of the semiconductor industry, the overall trend and target price of TSMC in 2021, how the Nvidia(NVDA), AMD, and Intel(INTC) semiconductor stocks are laid out, what is the decisive factors, and whether there is a predictable time point, we conducted a more systematic discussion.  The big picture of the semiconductor industry The semiconductor industry is cyclical. Since the second half of 2019, global semiconductors have entered a new round of the business cycle. This is very important. Only when you understand this reason can you hold stocks with peace of mind. The following analysis is based on the time dimension. In the short term, looking at one to three months now, with the outbreak of the epidemic again, the production capacity of 8-inch wafers are in short supply, the semiconductor industry chain is out of stock, wafer foundry, packaging, and testing links have seen price increases, and production capacity is in short supply. High economic situation, In ...

Can Apple(AAPL) icar end the dominance of Tesla(TSLA)?

Beginning in 2014, Apple started a plan for electric vehicles developed by "Project Titan". In the Apple electric car project, in the past few years, internal conflicts, leadership issues, and other issues have affected the entire project. The rumors in 2016 even hinted that Apple had shelved plans for the car, but Apple has overcome the development difficulties and still plans to develop consumers Car, The Apple car project has changed the leadership many times, and hundreds of employees have been laid off during the development process. In the past few years, there have been rumors that Apple has shifted its focus to autonomous driving software instead of just a car. In June 2017, Apple CEO Tim Cook publicly talked about Apple’s work on autonomous driving software, which rarely confirmed Apple’s development work, because Apple usually does not share the details it is studying, but when it comes to cars When it comes to software, due to legal restrictions, it has to apply fo...

AMD stock forecast 2025: Q2 is expected to perform strongly

Before the US stock market on July 19, US technology stocks continued their decline last Friday, and AMD's stock price also continued to fall.  AMD will announce the results of the second quarter of 2021 on July 27. The market expects this performance to be strong, so this round of decline may be a great opportunity to buy the stock.  financial indicator  Due to the strong market demand for CPU and graphics cards in 2021, AMD’s revenue is expected to exceed the maximum value of the financial guidance. AMD’s C&G business is expected to grow the most because higher-priced AMD Ryzen and high-end AMD Radeon sales continue to increase.  In terms of gross profit margin, the market expects AMD's gross profit margin in Q2 2021 will increase by 47% year-on-year.  If the average selling prices of CPUs and GPUs continue to rise in Q2 of 2021, and the ASPs of CPUs and GPUs will increase in Q1 of 2021, the gross profit margin may also increase by 48%.  CPU market sh...

Will the Great Depression make a comeback?

the Great Depression On March 21, 2020, the United States already had initial unemployment data. Exceeding market expectations, the number of applicants reached 3.28 million, a record high. The current unemployment situation in the United States. Before March 7, employment in the United States was not affected by the epidemic. In the week of March 7, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States was 211,000, a decrease of 4,000 compared to the previous week. It is still healthy. This shows that the United States is in a good employment track range. The actual data began to fluctuate, that is, the data for the week of March 14, the number of people applying for relief reached 282,000, a slight increase. On March 21, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits soared to a record high this week. 1.7 million people have far exceeded expectations, and market expectations are about 1.5 to 1.7 million people. It can be said...

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment. We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets. Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets. Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors. There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver. Although gold has withdrawn from ...

TSM Stock Forecast and Price Target 2021

Today, I will analyze TSMC stocks in-depth with you. In the semiconductor sector, TSMC has always been my most promising stock. TSMC has just announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2020. At the same time, there are new developments in the entire chip industry recently. Therefore, today I will combine the financial report and chips. The latest developments in the industry to analyze the trend of TSMC stocks, First of all, we analyze TSMC’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial reports to see what are the key points worthy of investors’ attention. First, TSMC’s fourth-quarter revenue and profitability are very good.  Compared with the outlook for Q4 in Q3, the outlook at that time was US$12.4-12.7 billion, and the actual revenue was US$12.68 billion. Actual revenue As the upper limit of the outlook, the gross profit margin outlook is 51.5%-53.5%, while the actual gross profit margin is 54%, which is better than the outlook. The operating net profit margin is expected t...

Bitcoin vs Ethereum vs Dogecoin: Which one is suitable to buy?

 Bitcoin(BTC), Ethereum(ETH), and Dogecoin(DOGE) are the three most-watched cryptocurrencies.  As a young investor, he has a strong mentality of pursuing returns and accepting new things. In recent years, cryptocurrencies have become the new favorites of many people. In particular, these three digital currencies have attracted the most attention: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin.  However, not all cryptocurrencies are created equally and trying to determine which type is right for you can cause confusion.  Each currency has advantages and disadvantages, and which currency you choose to invest in will depend on your situation.  Investing in cryptocurrency must bear the risk  First of all, you must consider whether cryptocurrencies are suitable for you because all cryptocurrencies are highly speculative and subject to great volatility. They have experienced the "currency disaster" in recent weeks, with an adjustable-rate of more than 30%.    Fur...

AMZN stock forecast 2025: Amazon's main advantages

  On July 6, after the US stock market opened, Amazon broke through $3,600, a record high.  Amazon has been oscillating between 3000-3500 US dollars in the past year, and the stock price finally broke through.  Amazon is a stock that has a high valuation from PE but is seriously undervalued by the market from the perspective of its development prospects. It is one of my favorite technology stocks.  Amazon's main advantages are:  1. Amazon's current GMV is only half that of Alibaba.  Looking at the current penetration rate of e-commerce in China and the future penetration rate of e-commerce in the United States, we will find that Amazon e-commerce has huge growth potential in the United States.  Amazon e-commerce is far from saturated in the United States.  2. Cloud computing has unlimited potential.  As the industry leader, Amazon's cloud computing can maintain a growth rate of 20%-30% for many years in the future.  3. The international ...

PLTR stock forecast 2025: Long-term holding growth stocks Palantir

Today we are talking about Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) the long-term growth stocks.  I have been paying attention to Palantir for a long time before the listing, but after the direct listing, the stock price fluctuated greatly, and the market's valuation faced great divergence. In addition, Palantir chose 80% of the shares to lift the ban three trading days after the financial report.  Therefore, I am also prepared to look at the market's reaction after the ban is lifted.  However, the stock price did not fall sharply due to the large-scale lifting of the ban. In this round of growth stock valuations, the decline of Palantir is not too large, at about 20%, but the valuation is more attractive than before.  From a perspective, I think Palantir is a company worth holding for a long time.  Palantir was founded in 2003 as a big data company with founders Peter Thiel, Alex Karp, Joe Lonsdale, Stephen Cohen, and Nathan Gettings.  Among them, the third and fo...

NIO and Tesla(TSLA) stock forecast 2025: released important news

  In the past two days, two electric vehicle companies, NIO and Tesla have released important news.  However, the market gave mixed reactions, one rose and the other fell. Let's take a look at what happened.  To  NIO stock forecast 2025  Let me talk about NIO first.  NIO announced this morning that the company will issue additional shares totaling US$2 billion. The price of the additional issuance will be based on the current market price, and the timing of the issuance will be determined according to the company’s needs. It may be a one-time sale or a share.  Wholesale sale.  After calculation, this will cause about a 3% equity dilution for existing shareholders.  However, the market seems to have given more interpretation. Today, NIO's share price has fallen by 6.3%, which is more than twice the theoretical dilution.  To  From the prospectus, the company only stated broadly that the funds raised will be used to strengthen its bala...