Skip to main content

PLTR stock forecast 2025: Long-term holding growth stocks Palantir



Today we are talking about Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR) the long-term growth stocks.


 I have been paying attention to Palantir for a long time before the listing, but after the direct listing, the stock price fluctuated greatly, and the market's valuation faced great divergence. In addition, Palantir chose 80% of the shares to lift the ban three trading days after the financial report.  Therefore, I am also prepared to look at the market's reaction after the ban is lifted.  However, the stock price did not fall sharply due to the large-scale lifting of the ban. In this round of growth stock valuations, the decline of Palantir is not too large, at about 20%, but the valuation is more attractive than before.  From a perspective, I think Palantir is a company worth holding for a long time.

 Palantir was founded in 2003 as a big data company with founders Peter Thiel, Alex Karp, Joe Lonsdale, Stephen Cohen, and Nathan Gettings.  Among them, the third and fourth are super code farmers who graduated from the Stanford Computer Department and joined Palantir directly after graduation.  The fifth place is the super code farmer from PayPal.  Stephen Cohen once researched with Andrew Ng, the great man of Deep Learning, and worked in Clarium Capital founded by Thiel.  Joe Lonsdale has been following Thiel in Paypal and Clarium Capital.  Nathan Gettings used to follow Thiel in Paypal and was the director of risk and R&D. He was famous for developing anti-fraud systems.

 In short, these three big cows are "closely surrounded by various undertakings with Chairman Peter Thiel as the core".  But who is Peter Thiel?

 The maverick founder


 Peter Thiel, founded Paypal in 1998.  After Paypal was acquired by eBay in 2002, he turned gorgeously and became the hottest investor in Silicon Valley. The companies he invested in include Facebook, Asana, Quora, LinkedIn, Yelp, Yammer, etc.  In addition to investing, he is still establishing a company-Palantir and Founders Fund are two of them.  The former has become the most popular big data company at the moment, while the latter is a well-known venture capital fund.  In addition to the two funds Clarium Capital and Founders Fund, Thiel also established two other funds: Valar Ventures, which focuses on the early stage, and Mithril Capital Management, which focuses on the growth period.

 "Least Competent" CEO


 CEO Alex Karp has no technical background or government background.  After graduating from Haverford College in Pennsylvania, he went to Stanford, California to obtain a JD degree in law.

 After graduating, Karp returned to California to inherit a large amount of his grandfather's fortune, and began his days of investing in various start-ups, with outstanding results.  All the local tyrants in Silicon Valley have been bent down, and they have all invested money for him to manage.  So he set up a fund in London to manage this pile of money.

 Karp and Peter Thiel were roommates when they were at Stanford. Thiel and his friends eventually persuaded Karp to return to Silicon Valley and join Palantir, becoming CEO.

 Development History


 From 2004 to 2009, Palantir mainly served the CIA and other US governments, developing customized software for them to realize integrated information retrieval and extraction and analysis of key information.  Presumably, the situation is just like what we have seen in classic American dramas such as "Criminal Minds". Faced with the messy information of the whole wall, we will find the most core part in a scrabble.  In fact, until 2008, the CIA has been Palantir's only major customer.

 In 2010, Palantir ushered in its first non-government project client, JPMorgan Chase, and applied its technology to anti-fraud projects.  In April of the same year, Palantir announced a partnership with Thomson Reuters to sell PalantirMetropolis products as QA Studio.

 In 2011, the company was selected into the JPMorgan Chase Corporate Innovation Pavilion. Since then, Palantir has become an important data analysis provider on Wall Street.  Today, Palantir's business scope is extremely wide. According to the official website, Palantir has launched services in artificial intelligence, finance, medical care, insurance, law enforcement, and finance.  According to the company's 2015 revenue ratio provided by China Merchants Securities, Palantir, which originally started as a government agency service, has dropped to 25% of its revenue.

 Palantir Gotham platform and Palantir Metropolis platform, the former is mainly used in the field of national defense and security, and the latter is more focused on applications in the financial sector.  Palantir Metropolis can be used to integrate all quantitative data, generate and test ideas, and collaborate in the cloud.  Palantir Metropolis is an effective and quantitative analysis platform that can provide appropriate supporting analysis tools to meet multidisciplinary research and complex research needs.  More details about the product will be introduced in the next chapter.  By 2013, according to incomplete statistics, the number of U.S. national agencies cooperating with Palantir has reached 12, which are basically Hollywood action movies. They are familiar with: CIA, U.S. Department of Homeland Security, FBI, U.S. National Security Agency, etc.  Wait.  Especially in September 2013, Palantir won a large order of US$196 million from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

 After 2013, Palantir began to take off. In the same year, it acquired the voice mail service company voice gem. In 2014, it acquired social testing service company pop tip and social media data analysis company propeller. In 2015, it acquired the omnichannel marketing platform Fancy That. In 2016, it acquired data visualization entrepreneurship.  Company Silk.

 Financially, Palantir's 2020 annual revenue is 1.093 billion U.S. dollars, and it is estimated that in 2021, its revenue will reach 1.394 billion U.S. dollars or more, and its annual revenue will increase by more than 30%.

 risk point:


 The problem that accompanies the era of big data is how to balance human privacy and freedom.  Palantir can be a sword to freedom in people's hands, and it can also be a prison for privacy surveillance.  After JP Morgan Chase revealed that the company used the Palantir platform to monitor employees and executives, the issue of privacy data security has been on the cusp.

 Value conversion


 For an enterprise, data collection and analysis are the first steps. The final measure is whether it can bring value to the enterprise. When the cost paid cannot bring more returns, the enterprise will reconsider the investment. March 2015  As of May 2016, Palantir had lost the top three customers of Nasdaq, Coca-Cola, and American Express.

 Looking back at the rise of Palantir, in the early stage, the founders were aware of the government’s need to establish a more efficient national security system. In the medium term, with the diversified integration of financial services, Palantir was able to provide financial institutions with anti-fraud and anti-money laundering functions.  Now, the era of big data has truly come, and various businesses in daily life are seeking online transformation, which is bound to bring unprecedented data processing problems, which also provides abundant opportunities for Palantir's business expansion.  In the long run, some of Palantir's risks are acceptable for him to have great potential.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Shopify stock forecast 2025:Is it worth buying?

  In the last year, the stocks rose relatively well. Another sector is e-commerce. Whether it is Amazon, Alibaba, JD.com, Pinduoduo, SEA or vertical e-commerce platforms Etsy and Chewy, all of them have experienced huge gains, while another category has benefited from the e-commerce sector.  The company is a website building tool company such as Shopify BigCommerce Holdings. Today I will talk about shopify, the leader of website building tools.  First, let's briefly talk about shopify's business model. To put it simply, shopify is a fool-like website building platform. In the past, when a company wanted to build a corporate website, it generally needed to find a dedicated person to design and maintain the website.  If you want to add shopping functions to the website, the cost of building the website will also increase. This is true for many small businesses and individual businesses.   A very difficult thing. Shopify uses the SAAS model to provide websit...

The stock market entering a bear market?

On March 6, 2020, the US stock market continued its decline today after a few days of rebound. Is this the beginning of a bear market in the stock market? Next, let's analyze one important indicator of entering the bear market, Treasury bonds yield. What is the yield of Treasury bonds? Treasury bonds are a tool issued by the state to raise funds. When the bonds are issued, they promise to repay the principal and interest on a specified date. The ratio of the return of Treasury bonds to the principal invested is the return of Treasury bonds.  The main factors affecting bond yield include coupon rate, maturity, face value, holding time, purchase price, and sale price. Rising bond yields and falling bond prices mean investors are selling bonds, turning to invest activities, or entering the stock market. In a healthy economic environment, the longer the Treasury bonds, the higher the bond yield. Because short-term bonds are more liquid, investors are willing to accept lower ...

Bitcoin vs Ethereum vs Dogecoin: Which one is suitable to buy?

 Bitcoin(BTC), Ethereum(ETH), and Dogecoin(DOGE) are the three most-watched cryptocurrencies.  As a young investor, he has a strong mentality of pursuing returns and accepting new things. In recent years, cryptocurrencies have become the new favorites of many people. In particular, these three digital currencies have attracted the most attention: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Dogecoin.  However, not all cryptocurrencies are created equally and trying to determine which type is right for you can cause confusion.  Each currency has advantages and disadvantages, and which currency you choose to invest in will depend on your situation.  Investing in cryptocurrency must bear the risk  First of all, you must consider whether cryptocurrencies are suitable for you because all cryptocurrencies are highly speculative and subject to great volatility. They have experienced the "currency disaster" in recent weeks, with an adjustable-rate of more than 30%.    Fur...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

4 economic indicators that must be observed!

  Stocks are one of the simplest and most passive types of income, but when we invest in the stock market, we always feel that the current stock price is on the high side, but if we don’t enter the market to buy stocks, we are afraid that the stock price will continue to rise. When the U.S. stock market continues to hit new highs, should it enter the market or should it wait and see and wait for the crash to enter the market.  First of all, I want to declare that I am a value investor and insist on the BUY AND HOLD operation method. We all know that stocks are cyclical, and we are now experiencing the longest bull market in history. Stock market analysts believe that a crash may come at any time, but we just have no way to predict the specific time. I believe everyone understands. But I know that a bear market will definitely come. The long-term trend of stocks often has several economic data as a reference. Today we will take a look at these economic data. source: tradingview...

Barrick Gold stock price soars after Warren Buffett's buys a stake?

Has Buffett bought gold ? Buffett has not changed. Buffett does not want to hold physical gold, but he has never said that he will not buy shares in gold mining companies. Looking at the entire market, there are not many stocks that fit Buffett's trading. And Barrick Gold Company is just one of them. Buffett bought nearly 21 million shares, and the current share value is $563 million. We now look at the underlying logic of Buffett's purchase of Barrick Gold stock. Compared with physical gold ETFs, gold mining companies can respond positively to market conditions. There are financial reports to analyze, With dividends and stock repurchase plans, gold mining companies have the right to reward shareholders through capital return plans. In contrast, the physical gold ETF has no gains. The market generally believes that it is still in the upward cycle of gold prices . The current international environment is one where black swans emerge one after another. While paying att...

TSMC VS Nvidia, AMD, Intel. How to choose semiconductor stocks?

The general pattern of the semiconductor industry, the overall trend and target price of TSMC in 2021, how the Nvidia(NVDA), AMD, and Intel(INTC) semiconductor stocks are laid out, what is the decisive factors, and whether there is a predictable time point, we conducted a more systematic discussion.  The big picture of the semiconductor industry The semiconductor industry is cyclical. Since the second half of 2019, global semiconductors have entered a new round of the business cycle. This is very important. Only when you understand this reason can you hold stocks with peace of mind. The following analysis is based on the time dimension. In the short term, looking at one to three months now, with the outbreak of the epidemic again, the production capacity of 8-inch wafers are in short supply, the semiconductor industry chain is out of stock, wafer foundry, packaging, and testing links have seen price increases, and production capacity is in short supply. High economic situation, In ...

What is the essence of the stock market?

If you have invested in stocks for many years, and you already know what stocks are. But if I tell you, even if you have invested in stocks for many years, even if you are still losing money, you may have misunderstood what stocks are. Many people think that buying stocks is investing in a company and becoming a company shareholder. As long as the company makes money, the stock price will rise. As a shareholder, you can share the economic achievements of the company’s development, such as obtaining dividends from the company, such as the appreciation of existing capital, is it not good to return cash flow every year?  If you think so and are willing to keep close to the company's stock if you wait for 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, then this idea may be correct, I will not stop you. But if you buy stocks just to make money, then I can tell you that the idea just now may be wrong. And this idea may cause you to often lose a lot of money, do you want to know why? First, if you a...

7 great investors' operating strategies to deal with the stock!

No one can be 100% sure about the outlook for the US stock market. Instead of entangled in whether the bull market in US stocks will end, it is better to think about what lessons can be learned from this plunge. Historically, due to the end of the summer market in September, U.S. stocks did not perform well. The plunge on Thursday sounded like a wake-up call for investors earlier. Be careful next week. Although Nasdaq is tolerant of faults The rate is high, but the up-and-down shock pattern has not changed, and there needs to be an established process. Investing in stocks should take a long-term view, have a long-term investment mentality, don't care too much about the rise and fall of one or two days, and don't feel unhappy because of the turmoil of the stock market, which affects the judgment of stock buying and selling. Today, let's take a look at how those familiar investment masters are invincible. The reason why masters become masters is that they have become masters ...

BABA stock forecast 2025: The failure of Ant Financial's IPO

Ant Financial’s IPO was canceled, causing Alibaba’s share price to fall, Alibaba has been unfavorable this year. First, the cancellation of Ant Financial's IPO indirectly caused Alibaba's stock price to fall, and now there is an antitrust investigation led by Alibaba, which caused Alibaba's stock price to plummet by 15% in a single day. From the highest point in October, the stock price of 319 dollars has fallen by as much as 30% to 222 dollars. From the perspective of K-line, Alibaba has reached the Oversold area, and it will rebound upward in the short term. From the perspective of valuation, Alibaba’s valuation is as high as US$388, which is 74% of the current share price of US$222. Value-added space, so it seems that whether it is viewed from the short-term K-line or the long-term valuation, now is a good time to buy the bottom of Alibaba. Before investing, I will analyze and analyze the root cause of the disadvantage of Alibaba this time, because if this problem is not...