Skip to main content

Safe-haven assets(GLD) are flowing into the market?



On March 9, 2020, the US Dow Jones Index plunged more than 2,000 points, the U.S. stock market crashed, the investment market was full of fear, and market funds flowed into those safe-haven assets? With the spread of the epidemic, the market's risk aversion has continued to increase, and the stock market has continued to fall. As an investor, to reduce investment risks, you must buy safe-haven assets, reduce the purchase or sale of assets in the stock market, and avoid a sharp decline in the stock market, which will cause serious losses.

When market risks continue to increase, investors will continue to buy safe-haven assets. Investors should pay attention to the following several safe-haven assets and use them as safe-havens.

Dow Jones Index

The first safe-haven asset is gold. Gold(GLD), as a traditional anti-inflation commodity, has always been the preferred safe-haven asset for investors.
GLD

The second safe-haven asset is the Japanese yen. Because the Japanese yen is a low-interest currency, the market economy situation is good, and the investment sentiment is optimistic. Investors will borrow the yen and then invest in high-interest assets or invest in high-risk high-return Activities, funds flow out of the yen. When the market economy worsens, investment sentiment is panic, and investors no longer carry out high-risk investment activities, they will repay the yen and capital flows into the yen.
USD/JPY

The third safe-haven asset is the Swiss franc, which is also a low-interest currency. The situation of the Swiss franc is similar to that of the Japanese yen. Switzerland is a rich and stable country, so the Swiss franc is a traditional safe-haven asset.
USD/CHF

The fourth safe-haven asset is U.S. bonds. The U.S. is the world's most powerful economy. The U.S. economy has been developing steadily. As long as investors hold U.S. Treasury bonds, they will obtain stable investment returns.
BOND

The fifth safe-haven asset is the US dollar, which, as a global settlement currency, is hard currency. When the economic crisis comes, investors will also choose to hold USD as a safe-haven asset.
DXY

The above several safe-haven assets are the market's economic recession, market sentiment panic, and capital inflows. When the prices of several safe-haven assets continue to rise, it means that the stock market has entered a bear market. Investors should avoid excessive investment activities, reduce investment risks, and choose lower-risk safe-haven assets.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

 On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound.  How is this going?  Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled.  The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe:  1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists;  2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth.  Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “...

Bitcoin crashed! In a word of Musk, the digital currency plummeted!

Ethereum is thriving, what logic?  The world's second-largest digital currency, Ethereum, is continuing to challenge the influence of Bitcoin by its "functionality".  On the morning of May 13th, the price of Bitcoin plummeted by more than 13% and once fell below the $50,000 mark. As a challenger to Bitcoin, Ethereum fell by about 8% and continued to narrow its decline. The previous day, Ether  The market rose by 6% during the intraday session, with a market value exceeding US$500 billion, and its price hitting a record high.   In the past 6 months, the price of Ethereum has risen by as much as 8 times, out of the independent market, has far outperformed the continued consolidation of Bitcoin.  At present, the share of Ethereum in digital currencies' total global market value has risen to 18%, while the weight of Bitcoin's market value has been cut in the past two years, and the current market value has dropped to 38%.  On the morning of May 13, there w...

BABA stock forecast 2025: The failure of Ant Financial's IPO

Ant Financial’s IPO was canceled, causing Alibaba’s share price to fall, Alibaba has been unfavorable this year. First, the cancellation of Ant Financial's IPO indirectly caused Alibaba's stock price to fall, and now there is an antitrust investigation led by Alibaba, which caused Alibaba's stock price to plummet by 15% in a single day. From the highest point in October, the stock price of 319 dollars has fallen by as much as 30% to 222 dollars. From the perspective of K-line, Alibaba has reached the Oversold area, and it will rebound upward in the short term. From the perspective of valuation, Alibaba’s valuation is as high as US$388, which is 74% of the current share price of US$222. Value-added space, so it seems that whether it is viewed from the short-term K-line or the long-term valuation, now is a good time to buy the bottom of Alibaba. Before investing, I will analyze and analyze the root cause of the disadvantage of Alibaba this time, because if this problem is not...

Will China's economy recover as the epidemic is under control?

During the Chinese Spring Festival, novel coronavirus broke out in Wuhan, and the Chinese stock market was hit hard. Subsequently, the Chinese government quickly took strict measures to block Wuhan, a city with a population of tens of thousands of people, to prevent the further spread of the epidemic, and to take corresponding epidemic prevention measures in other cities.  When the worst of the epidemic had already occurred, the Chinese stock market quickly rebounded. As the number of infections continues to decline, China's Shanghai Composite Index is expected to rise further. Sars Period Looking back on similar events in the past, the SARS epidemic in 2003, the stock market also made a short-term decline, and then the SARS epidemic was brought under control, the stock market immediately went up for a long time. According to past historical data, the impact of the novel coronavirus epidemic on the stock market may be short-lived. China Fund Capital Flow Howeve...

FNKO VS PLBY: Which NFT stock is more attractive for investment?

The market for NFT stocks is recently booming, and investors have begun to show strong interest in NFT stocks.  NFT is a digital asset created using blockchain encryption technology, such as works of art, music or video, etc. Each NFT has a unique digital signature to determine its unique attributes, making it difficult for NFTs to exchange with each other.  NFT provides a unique way for content creators to earn income by paying copyright fees or selling their artworks directly to consumers.  According to data provided by Forbes Advisor, since November 2017, nearly $174 million has been used for NFT transactions. On May 12, Eastern Time, eBay (EBAY.US) added NFT to its online shopping mall product list.  Funko (FNKO.US) and PLBY Group (PLBY.US) recently had the most popular NFT concept stocks, which stock is more attractive for investment?  Let's look at what Wall Street analysts think of these two stocks.  Funko is a pop culture consumer goods company who...

Three stages of bull and bear markets!

The bull and bear markets of the stock market are traditional indicators of the business cycle. As an investor, distinguishing bull and bear markets in the stock market and grasping the long-term development direction of the market can avoid the impact of short-term market fluctuations and the impact of complex market information.  For example, the market fluctuations brought by news information, the sudden and sharp drop in market prices, and the impact of investor sentiment have led to making wrong investment trading decisions. The stock market is in a bull market, most asset prices will continue to rise, and the stock market is in a bear market, most asset prices will continue to fall. Both bull and bear markets are divided into three stages, so how to tell whether the stock market is in a bull or bear market, and at what stage. S&P500 Index What is a bull market? In the first stage of the bull market, after the market economy was in recession, the stock price fe...

Teladoc stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy TDOC?

 TDOC's performance exceeded expectations. Why did the performance decline after the announcement?  Teladoc (TDOC) reported quarterly earnings of US$0.13 per share, which exceeded the consensus estimate of a loss of US$0.57 per share. In the same period last year, it had a loss of US$0.4 per share.  The earnings of this financial report far exceeded expectations.  In the last quarter, people expected this telemedicine service company to lose 0.25 US dollars per share, but the actual loss per share was 0.27 US dollars, which was not as good as expected at the time.  In the past four quarters, TDOC exceeded expectations twice.  The management stated that the company's current momentum in various channels and regions should not be underestimated in the conference call. It has raised its annual revenue guidance to 20 million U.S. dollars, which is expected to be between 1.97 billion and 2.02 billion U.S. dollars.    In the first quarter, the comp...

Will the Great Depression make a comeback?

the Great Depression On March 21, 2020, the United States already had initial unemployment data. Exceeding market expectations, the number of applicants reached 3.28 million, a record high. The current unemployment situation in the United States. Before March 7, employment in the United States was not affected by the epidemic. In the week of March 7, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States was 211,000, a decrease of 4,000 compared to the previous week. It is still healthy. This shows that the United States is in a good employment track range. The actual data began to fluctuate, that is, the data for the week of March 14, the number of people applying for relief reached 282,000, a slight increase. On March 21, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits soared to a record high this week. 1.7 million people have far exceeded expectations, and market expectations are about 1.5 to 1.7 million people. It can be said...

Bear market coming, gold(GLD) assets become essential

The economic data of the global economic powers have been deteriorating, entering the bear market stage of the economy, and people have become more cautious when choosing asset investment. We should choose investment products with a low correlation coefficient with economic performance and investment products suitable for the current economic cycle. Investors should pay more attention to foreign exchange and commodity markets so that they can add value to your assets. Among many assets, anti-inflation commodities such as gold have become essential assets. Take gold as an example. For many years, gold has been regarded as an anti-inflation commodity by international capital markets and has been regarded as an important asset hedging tool by investors. There is also a saying, "The world bought gold during turbulent times." From basic political theory, we know that gold is not currency, and the currency is naturally gold and silver. Although gold has withdrawn from ...

Why has international oil(USO) prices plummeted?

As OPEC and Russia failed in negotiations and could not reach an agreement to reduce production, Saudi Arabia issued a comprehensive production increase announcement. Russia followed Saudi Arabia to increase production.  Due to the sharp increase in oil supply, international oil prices plummeted, and US stocks were affected by the spread of the epidemic, and international oil prices The plunge, the U.S. stock market plummeted, triggering multiple fuses. S&P500 Index Oil is a commodity whose price is affected by supply and demand. When oil production increases, supply increases, prices fall, and at the same time affected by the epidemic, demand decreases, and prices also fall. Oil supply increases and demand decreases, which is the main cause of the plunge in international oil prices. In terms of oil supply, since the United States developed shale oil, US oil production has become the world's largest. The production cost of shale oil is more than US $ 40, which is the ...