The era of negative US interest rates coming?

Recently, the US Federal Reserve suddenly cut interest rates and US stocks fell sharply. Most investors believe that the ten-year bull market for US stocks has ended.

In terms of the US dollar index, after a period of decline, the US dollar index rebounded sharply, indicating that risk aversion was high, and market funds were flowing to the US dollar to hedge.

The Fed ’s interest rate cuts have not saved the US stock market. The Fed ’s interest rates are now very low. If the Fed continues to cut interest rates in the future, the United States will soon enter the era of negative interest rates. Take Europe and Japan as examples. Negative interest rates have not restored the country ’s economy. The future economic situation of the United States is not optimistic.

The reason for the negative interest rate is that the investment must be profitable, otherwise, it will not be invested. If the profit is low or loss, the investor will directly deposit the profit to the bank. When social investors deposit money in the bank, the money in the society will decrease. Already.

When there is less money in society and the number of commodities does not change, the price of commodities will fall, which is deflation. When deflation occurs, people are reluctant to buy things, because they will know that the price of goods in the future will be cheaper than today, that money will become more and more valuable, and that goods will become cheaper. This has led to a reduction in the country's commodity trading volume, which has affected the country's economic operation.

When it affects the economic operation of the country, the country adopts financial policies to enable investors not to deposit money in banks, but to invest money in society and create more value. When a negative interest rate is implemented and there is no gain in saving money, the funds will flow to society.

It may be that the epidemic has affected the economic operation and caused the US stock market to plummet. If the United States can effectively control the epidemic and implement effective anti-epidemic measures like China, then the US economy will soon recover, the bear market will soon end, and a new round The bull market will soon return.

Will the Great Depression make a comeback?

the Great Depression On March 21, 2020, the United States already had initial unemployment data. Exceeding market expectations, the number of applicants reached 3.28 million, a record high. The current unemployment situation in the United States. Before March 7, employment in the United States was not affected by the epidemic. In the week of March 7, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the United States was 211,000, a decrease of 4,000 compared to the previous week. It is still healthy. This shows that the United States is in a good employment track range. The actual data began to fluctuate, that is, the data for the week of March 14, the number of people applying for relief reached 282,000, a slight increase. On March 21, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits soared to a record high this week. 1.7 million people have far exceeded expectations, and market expectations are about 1.5 to 1.7 million people. It can be said...

Palantir stock forecast 2025: What kind of company is PLTR?

PLTR introduced today may be the most controversial company in the current market, not one of them. As a stock, he is the faith stock of many retail investors. Those who believe in it generally believe that its stock price can double at least ten times in the future. Catherine Wood, the president of the ARK Fund, nicknamed "the light of retail investors," continues to buy the stock, which is also highly sought after on the WSB forum; on the contrary, most analysts on Wall Street are not optimistic about its development. The average target price at the end of 2021 is still 10% lower than the current stock price. As a company, its revenue is growing steadily and rapidly, with an annual growth rate of about 30% per year. However, the company has never achieved profitability in the past 20 years since its establishment. As a high-tech enterprise, the company is full of various genius ideas and the top talents in the industry, but they are mostly engaged i...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

Investors have begun to switch back to traditional growth stocks

On Thursday, the stock prices of Cisco, Alphabet, and IBM hit new highs. But more importantly, the previously unpopular speculative growth stocks, including stocks bought by many ARK funds, have now begun to rebound. How is this going? Investors' perspective on the market is changing. In the first quarter of this year, mainstream voices in the market believe that the economy will restart strongly, bond yields will rise, and inflation may become a problem later this year. After the end of the first quarter, these expectations were only partially fulfilled. The U.S. economy has indeed restarted strongly, but bond yields fell in the first quarter instead of rising because investors began to believe: 1) Inflation and supply chain disruption may indeed be "temporary", as the Fed insists; 2) The second and third quarters will be the highest points of stock returns and economic growth. Alec Young, a chief investment officer of Tactical Alpha, said: “...

Many companies will China close in 2020?

Starting in March, all walks of life in China began to resume work. People stayed at home for more than two months. Many people's moods changed from tension to leisure, and now they are anxious. It's not just the bosses who are anxious. Many employees find that their rents and mortgages are still being paid, the holidays are extended, they can't go to work, and their salaries aren't. Whenever there is no money it is a big problem. More than 700 companies closed down in February, but getting fewer wages is also better than the company suddenly closing down. In February, more than 700 companies have closed down, and this number should be exceeded. Statistics show that more than 55% of catering businesses in China have resumed work, but compared to the same period last year, affected by the epidemic, 78% of catering companies have lost more than 100% of their operating income, and another 16% of them have lost over 70%. This year's sudden outbreak, the impact...

7 great investors' operating strategies to deal with the stock!

No one can be 100% sure about the outlook for the US stock market. Instead of entangled in whether the bull market in US stocks will end, it is better to think about what lessons can be learned from this plunge. Historically, due to the end of the summer market in September, U.S. stocks did not perform well. The plunge on Thursday sounded like a wake-up call for investors earlier. Be careful next week. Although Nasdaq is tolerant of faults The rate is high, but the up-and-down shock pattern has not changed, and there needs to be an established process. Investing in stocks should take a long-term view, have a long-term investment mentality, don't care too much about the rise and fall of one or two days, and don't feel unhappy because of the turmoil of the stock market, which affects the judgment of stock buying and selling. Today, let's take a look at how those familiar investment masters are invincible. The reason why masters become masters is that they have become masters ...

Coinbase stock forecast 2025: it's first quarterly report

After the trading hours on May 13 (this Thursday), Coinbase Global (COIN) will release its first quarterly report. Take this opportunity to give us a glimpse of the prospects of the first share of cryptocurrency exchanges. Actually, on April 6, before Coinbase went public, it had already released a forecast for the first quarter of this year. The core data are as follows: Revenue in the first quarter was approximately US$1.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 842%; before the net profit was between US$730 million and US$800 million, the median was US$765 million, a year-on-year increase of nearly 23 times! Assets on the platform are 223 billion US dollars, accounting for 11.3% of the market share of encrypted assets; 56 million verified users, and 6.1 million monthly transaction users (MTU). It is worth noting that Coinbase's net profit margin reached a terrifying 42.5% in the first quarter, and the business model of “casino” is really profitable! ...

Look for growth stocks, and let profits run!

let profits run Due to the recent rapid decline in the global stock market, many investors have suffered severe losses in the books they hold. How much money has been lost? What should I do now? Should the stock be sold immediately? Or wait for it to rebound before selling? I usually ask him, why would you buy stocks? Why do you still hold stocks? Sometimes they will tell me very frankly, because after listening to XX masters, XX experts, XX financial performances, or a friend, a relative, or a neighbor telling them, the stock price is very cheap now, so fast Click to buy, or after the stock has fallen for some time, these people will say that the current stock price is cheaper, and it should be evened down, and it will go up no matter what. If you are holding a lot of stocks in the stock market disaster because of this, you have already suffered heavy losses at this moment. I hope this is the last time you are recruited in the stock market. First, let's look at a practica...

Barrick Gold stock price soars after Warren Buffett's buys a stake?

Has Buffett bought gold ? Buffett has not changed. Buffett does not want to hold physical gold, but he has never said that he will not buy shares in gold mining companies. Looking at the entire market, there are not many stocks that fit Buffett's trading. And Barrick Gold Company is just one of them. Buffett bought nearly 21 million shares, and the current share value is $563 million. We now look at the underlying logic of Buffett's purchase of Barrick Gold stock. Compared with physical gold ETFs, gold mining companies can respond positively to market conditions. There are financial reports to analyze, With dividends and stock repurchase plans, gold mining companies have the right to reward shareholders through capital return plans. In contrast, the physical gold ETF has no gains. The market generally believes that it is still in the upward cycle of gold prices . The current international environment is one where black swans emerge one after another. While paying att...

Bitcoin will eventually lose its king status! Replaced by Ethereum

Considering many factors such as real use, user base, technological iteration speed, etc., Ethereum is likely to replace Bitcoin as the mainstream cryptocurrency. In terms of market trends, the key difference between the current cryptocurrency market and the 2017-2018 bull market is the participation of institutional investors. However, with the recent slowdown in the participation of institutional investors, the inflow of cryptocurrency ETFs has decreased, alternative currencies have emerged one after another, and the market has once again been dominated by retail investors. This shift from institutions to retail investors is increasing the possibility of a market crash. The current high volatility in the market will continue until cryptocurrencies have potential real economic uses independent of prices. Etherfang has huge potential The Ethereum system supports smart contracts and provides developers with a way to create new applications. ...

FinanceLinkway

Search This Blog