Skip to main content

The era of negative US interest rates coming?

Recently, the US Federal Reserve suddenly cut interest rates and US stocks fell sharply. Most investors believe that the ten-year bull market for US stocks has ended.

In terms of the US dollar index, after a period of decline, the US dollar index rebounded sharply, indicating that risk aversion was high, and market funds were flowing to the US dollar to hedge.

The Fed ’s interest rate cuts have not saved the US stock market. The Fed ’s interest rates are now very low. If the Fed continues to cut interest rates in the future, the United States will soon enter the era of negative interest rates. Take Europe and Japan as examples. Negative interest rates have not restored the country ’s economy. The future economic situation of the United States is not optimistic.

The reason for the negative interest rate is that the investment must be profitable, otherwise, it will not be invested. If the profit is low or loss, the investor will directly deposit the profit to the bank. When social investors deposit money in the bank, the money in the society will decrease. Already.

When there is less money in society and the number of commodities does not change, the price of commodities will fall, which is deflation. When deflation occurs, people are reluctant to buy things, because they will know that the price of goods in the future will be cheaper than today, that money will become more and more valuable, and that goods will become cheaper. This has led to a reduction in the country's commodity trading volume, which has affected the country's economic operation.

When it affects the economic operation of the country, the country adopts financial policies to enable investors not to deposit money in banks, but to invest money in society and create more value. When a negative interest rate is implemented and there is no gain in saving money, the funds will flow to society.

It may be that the epidemic has affected the economic operation and caused the US stock market to plummet. If the United States can effectively control the epidemic and implement effective anti-epidemic measures like China, then the US economy will soon recover, the bear market will soon end, and a new round The bull market will soon return.

Popular posts from this blog

NIO stock forecast 2025: 2021 Q1 report analysis

 April 30, NIO announced the first quarter of the 2021 financial report.  Revenue reached 7.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 481.8%, and a month-on-month increase of 20.2%; gross profit was 1.5548 billion yuan, a month-on-month increase of 36.2%, and last year was -167.5 million yuan; a net loss of 350 million yuan was significantly narrowed year-on-year and month-on-month.  Various indicators show that NIO's performance in the first quarter of this year is very impressive.  Gross profit margin exceeds 20% for the first time  NIO’s Q1 car sales were 7.40058 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 489.8% and a month-on-month increase of 20.0%.  The gross profit margin of automobile sales was 21.2%, exceeding 20% ​​for the first time, a significant increase from -7.4% in Q1 of 2020 and 17.2% in Q4 of 2020.  In addition, Weilai's Q1 comprehensive gross profit margin in 2021 will also reach 19.5%.  The founder, chairman, and CEO of NIO sai...

Intel, Twitter, and Snapchat stock forecast 2025: latest quarterly earnings reports

 Three technology companies, Intel, Twitter, and Snapchat, released their latest quarterly earnings reports.  Let's take a look at their performance and the key information revealed at the earnings conference. Intel(INTC) stock forecast 2025  Several important data on Intel's earnings report beat expectations.  Among them, earnings per share were US$1.28, higher than the expected US$1.06, an increase of 12% over the same period last year; total revenue was US$18.5 billion, beating analysts’ expectations of US$17.8 billion.  However, in Intel's guidance for the next quarter, the Non-GAAP gross profit margin given is only 55%, which is far lower than the market's expected 59.2%.  The reason given by Intel is that it is worried that supply chain problems will limit profitability, and the expected chip manufacturing business will bring additional costs.  For chip companies, the market is most concerned about gross profit margin.  TSMC fell last week b...

3 Chinese technology stocks forecast 2025: JD PDD and BZUN

  Forget Alibaba(BABA)!  These 3 Chinese technology stocks are more worth buying      Hello everyone, Alibaba is China's largest e-commerce and cloud company. From January to late May, Alibaba's market value has shrunk by nearly 10%, lagging behind many peers.  Antitrust investigations in China, stricter auditing standards in the United States, and funding from growth stocks to value stocks have all dragged down Alibaba's stock price.      Alibaba’s stock is trading at an expected price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times, which may seem cheap, but analysts still expect Alibaba’s earnings to fall by 3% this year because it has absorbed a record US$2.75 billion in antitrust fines.  It also needs to stop exclusive deals with big brands, which may weaken the company's defenses against smaller e-commerce markets.      But this is not all. Alibaba may be forced to divest media assets and share user data with the government, and the group's financial technology su...

VRTX stock forecast 2025: Vertex is undervalued

Let's look at some biotech companies with stable cash flow and currently undervalued value stocks as targets for diversified portfolios.  The company I shared today, called Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), is dedicated to the development of rare diseases, especially Cystic Fibrosis (CF). I have always had high respect for the rare disease group of pharmaceutical companies in the disease category. In addition, in the future, gene and cell therapies are subverting the role of rare diseases in the pharmaceutical industry, making rare diseases no longer uncommon. It's tasteless, but a field full of the future. Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc. was established in 1989 by Joshua Boger and Kevin Kinsella. is headquartered in Boston. At that time, several very good research and development companies were established in the United States, including the aforementioned Regeneron, Gilead, and today's Vertex.  Vertex In the past, he devoted himself to the development of small molecule drugs, wh...

AMD stock forecast 2025: Q2 is expected to perform strongly

Before the US stock market on July 19, US technology stocks continued their decline last Friday, and AMD's stock price also continued to fall.  AMD will announce the results of the second quarter of 2021 on July 27. The market expects this performance to be strong, so this round of decline may be a great opportunity to buy the stock.  financial indicator  Due to the strong market demand for CPU and graphics cards in 2021, AMD’s revenue is expected to exceed the maximum value of the financial guidance. AMD’s C&G business is expected to grow the most because higher-priced AMD Ryzen and high-end AMD Radeon sales continue to increase.  In terms of gross profit margin, the market expects AMD's gross profit margin in Q2 2021 will increase by 47% year-on-year.  If the average selling prices of CPUs and GPUs continue to rise in Q2 of 2021, and the ASPs of CPUs and GPUs will increase in Q1 of 2021, the gross profit margin may also increase by 48%.  CPU market sh...

Teladoc stock forecast 2025: Is it time to buy TDOC?

 TDOC's performance exceeded expectations. Why did the performance decline after the announcement?  Teladoc (TDOC) reported quarterly earnings of US$0.13 per share, which exceeded the consensus estimate of a loss of US$0.57 per share. In the same period last year, it had a loss of US$0.4 per share.  The earnings of this financial report far exceeded expectations.  In the last quarter, people expected this telemedicine service company to lose 0.25 US dollars per share, but the actual loss per share was 0.27 US dollars, which was not as good as expected at the time.  In the past four quarters, TDOC exceeded expectations twice.  The management stated that the company's current momentum in various channels and regions should not be underestimated in the conference call. It has raised its annual revenue guidance to 20 million U.S. dollars, which is expected to be between 1.97 billion and 2.02 billion U.S. dollars.    In the first quarter, the comp...

Palantir stock forecast 2025: What kind of company is PLTR?

 PLTR introduced today may be the most controversial company in the current market, not one of them.  As a stock, he is the faith stock of many retail investors. Those who believe in it generally believe that its stock price can double at least ten times in the future.  Catherine Wood, the president of the ARK Fund, nicknamed "the light of retail investors," continues to buy the stock, which is also highly sought after on the WSB forum; on the contrary, most analysts on Wall Street are not optimistic about its development.  The average target price at the end of 2021 is still 10% lower than the current stock price.  As a company, its revenue is growing steadily and rapidly, with an annual growth rate of about 30% per year. However, the company has never achieved profitability in the past 20 years since its establishment.  As a high-tech enterprise, the company is full of various genius ideas and the top talents in the industry, but they are mostly engaged i...

TSM Stock Forecast and Price Target 2021

Today, I will analyze TSMC stocks in-depth with you. In the semiconductor sector, TSMC has always been my most promising stock. TSMC has just announced its results for the fourth quarter of 2020. At the same time, there are new developments in the entire chip industry recently. Therefore, today I will combine the financial report and chips. The latest developments in the industry to analyze the trend of TSMC stocks, First of all, we analyze TSMC’s fourth-quarter and full-year 2020 financial reports to see what are the key points worthy of investors’ attention. First, TSMC’s fourth-quarter revenue and profitability are very good.  Compared with the outlook for Q4 in Q3, the outlook at that time was US$12.4-12.7 billion, and the actual revenue was US$12.68 billion. Actual revenue As the upper limit of the outlook, the gross profit margin outlook is 51.5%-53.5%, while the actual gross profit margin is 54%, which is better than the outlook. The operating net profit margin is expected t...

4 George Soros advice to investors!

Who is George Soros? George Soros is a Hungarian-born Jewish businessman. It is one of the most influential investors in the world. In 1969, the Double Eagle Fund was established for Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder, an investment management company. In 1973, Soros and his assistant Rogers left Bleichroeder to co-found Soros Fund Management. In 1979, the well-known Quantum Fund was established and continued to make profits. In the Asian financial turmoil in 1997, George Soros sniped the Thai baht and the Hong Kong dollar, which was frightening. Learning from the experiences of successful people can benefit a lot. Here are 4 tips George Soros gave investors. First, to be successful, you must have ample free time. Most people want to be rich, but not everyone realizes the importance of free time. Many people spend a lot of time working to accumulate wealth, sleep, and forget. Set the goal to complete the work indicated by the superior, or the needs of business partners. But they hav...

What is a spac stock in the Investment market?

Let me talk about SPAC first.  SPAC (Special Purpose Acquisition Company) means "Special Purpose Acquisition Company", also known as "Blank Check" or "Shell Company".  As the name suggests, this company has no actual business, and its essence is a financial innovation tool that provides companies with listing services.  More simply, SPAC is a shell resource company established by professional institutions such as investment banks and fund companies as promoters.  The sole purpose of this company's listing is to find the target company, through reverse mergers and acquisitions, to achieve the target company's listing and financing.  Most people pay attention to SPAC from 2020, but in fact, SPAC is nothing new.  The SPAC structure was first born in the 1990s and was pioneered by David Nabers, who worked for the Wall Street investment bank GKN.  However, in the past few decades, compared with traditional IPOs, the number of SPACs is very limited, and ...